Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / SF · 2026

Harris, Trent

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
20.4% K%
Range
0.3% to 19.9%
Live Δ
yes
Team SF Archetype Volatile contact Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
87
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
81
Arsenal5 metrics
62
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.08
87
ERA2.33
93
BB%8.2%
58
K%31.8%
96
xwOBA allowed0.218
100
Barrel allowed0.0%
100
Fastball velo93.8
39
Hard-hit allowed23.5%
100
Whiff%23.1%
54
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Curveball Stuff+98
7
Cutter Stuff+102
51
Mithrandir Stuff+105
75
Sinker Stuff+108
86
Slider Stuff+108
92
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

6 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Harris, Trent · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.218 2026-09-21: 0.2252026-09-22: 0.2182026-09-23: 0.2182026-09-24: 0.2182026-09-25: 0.2182026-09-26: 0.218 2026-09-21 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Harris, Trent · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 52%52%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 23%23%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 24%24% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Harris, Trent · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 29.8%Sweeper: 27.7%Sinker: 23.0%Curveball: 18.6%Slider: 0.6%Split-Finger: 0.3% FC30% · 94 mphprimary pitch FC 30%ST 28%SI 23%CU 19%SL 1%FS 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Harris, Trent · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ Cutter: 30% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 93.9 mphFC94 mphSweeper: 28% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 84.9 mphST85 mphSinker: 23% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 93.8 mphSI94 mphCurveball: 19% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 63″ drop, 78.3 mphCU78 mphSlider: 1% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 86.5 mphSL86 mphSplit-Finger: 0% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 87.4 mphFS87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 30.8% 82 102 limited sample
SL 30.1% 80 108 limited sample
SI 21.4% 57 108 limited sample
CB 17.7% 47 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--
Sample21.3 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings30.3----
Batters Faced132----
K%20.4%0.3% to 19.9%+/- 9.8%
BB%8.9%0.2% to 10.7%+/- 5.2%
Whiff%21.6%0.4% to 25.0%+/- 12.3%
HR/91.250.00 to 1.45+/- 0.72
xwOBA Against0.2840.003 to 0.315+/- 0.156
Barrel% Allowed7.3%0.1% to 9.6%+/- 4.7%
ERA4.740.00 to 5.74+/- 2.87
FIP4.180.79 to 6.19+/- 2.70
WHIP1.2910.354 to 1.613+/- 0.630
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

5 career BF

xwOBA0.004
K%0.3%
BB%2.1%
Barrel0.1%
vs RHH

0 career BF

xwOBA0.004
K%0.4%
BB%1.6%
Barrel0.1%