Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / SF · 2026

Molina, Anthony

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
18.1% K%
Range
11.6% to 25.7%
Live Δ
yes
Team SF Archetype Volatile contact Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
70
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
65
Arsenal5 metrics
68
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.08
87
ERA4.18
47
BB%5.6%
93
K%22.2%
50
xwOBA allowed0.297
71
Barrel allowed6.7%
63
Fastball velo96.3
80
Hard-hit allowed37.5%
57
Whiff%21.1%
37
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Changeup Stuff+106
80
Curveball Stuff+103
63
Fastball Stuff+107
83
Mithrandir Stuff+105
77
Slider Stuff+101
40
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 47%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Molina, Anthony · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.297 2026-09-12: 0.3202026-09-13: 0.3202026-09-14: 0.3202026-09-18: 0.3032026-09-19: 0.3032026-09-20: 0.3032026-09-21: 0.3032026-09-22: 0.3032026-09-23: 0.2972026-09-24: 0.2972026-09-25: 0.2972026-09-26: 0.297 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Molina, Anthony · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 45%45%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Molina, Anthony · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 47.4%Changeup: 21.7%Curveball: 14.8%Slider: 11.8%Slurve: 3.8%Sinker: 0.5% FF47% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 47%CH 22%CU 15%SL 12%SV 4%SI 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Molina, Anthony · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 47% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 96.4 mphFF96 mphChangeup: 22% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 87.1 mphCH87 mphCurveball: 15% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 84.5 mphCU84 mphSlider: 12% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 88.0 mphSL88 mphSlurve: 4% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 84.5 mphSV85 mphSinker: 1% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.8 mphSI96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 51.0% 176 107 limited sample
CH 20.9% 72 106 limited sample
SL 15.1% 52 101 limited sample
CB 13.0% 45 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.366 vs 0.327 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 44%, Changeup 18%, Curveball 15%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--
Sample36.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings63.1----
Batters Faced288----
K%18.1%11.6% to 25.7%+/- 7.0%
BB%7.1%2.9% to 9.8%+/- 3.5%
Whiff%21.5%16.1% to 26.9%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.260.51 to 2.06+/- 0.78
xwOBA Against0.3200.269 to 0.375+/- 0.053
Barrel% Allowed9.1%4.9% to 12.7%+/- 3.9%
ERA4.381.62 to 7.25+/- 2.82
FIP4.503.34 to 6.10+/- 1.38
WHIP1.4091.114 to 1.801+/- 0.344
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

200 career BF

xwOBA0.366
K%13.3%
BB%6.8%
Barrel9.7%
vs RHH

247 career BF

xwOBA0.327
K%14.9%
BB%4.4%
Barrel8.7%