Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.276 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.321 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.284 |
| Observed weight | 19% |
xwOBA
0.201
0.240
0.284
0.329
0.368
wOBA
0.322
0.363
0.409
0.455
0.497
ISO
0.069
0.101
0.136
0.172
0.204
K%
7.5%
12.7%
18.5%
24.2%
29.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.7%
37
Barrel%3.8%
32
Bat speed66.4
15
Exit velocity87.1
35
Hard-hit%33.3%
24
K%9.6%
99
+58 vs proj
xBA0.315
40
xSLG0.427
23
xwOBA0.321
60
+24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · C
35
Pop Time1.9 · C
62
Arm Runs-0.1 · C
Limited
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing-1.1 · C
Limited
Framing Runs-0.9 · C
Limited
Range Runs-1.0 · C
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · C
58
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.2% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions63.9% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · borderline
19
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
23
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
42 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.114 |
| Sample | 52 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 203 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.130 to 0.333 | +/- 0.102 |
| ISO | 0.121 | 0.030 to 0.193 | +/- 0.082 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 0.2% to 4.6% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.1% | 11.4% to 38.3% | +/- 13.4% |
| K% | 23.4% | 7.4% to 34.3% | +/- 13.5% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 0.8% to 10.3% | +/- 4.8% |
| BABIP | 0.306 | 0.180 to 0.366 | +/- 0.093 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
6 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |