Doval, Camilo
Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.61 |
| ERA current pace | 5.14 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.04 |
| Observed weight | 28% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 43.3% | 140 | 103 | limited sample |
| FC | 34.7% | 112 | 101 | limited sample |
| SL | 21.4% | 69 | 105 | limited sample |
| CH | 0.6% | 2 | 108 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | +1.53 |
| K% Δ | -0.058 |
| Sample | 22.0 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 41.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 179 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.4% | 19.4% to 34.6% | +/- 7.6% |
| BB% | 11.2% | 7.4% to 16.3% | +/- 4.4% |
| Whiff% | 28.3% | 24.4% to 35.9% | +/- 5.8% |
| HR/9 | 1.22 | 0.32 to 1.85 | +/- 0.77 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.304 | 0.230 to 0.363 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.0% | 3.6% to 11.0% | +/- 3.7% |
| ERA | 3.61 | 1.80 to 6.50 | +/- 2.35 |
| FIP | 3.52 | 2.24 to 5.90 | +/- 1.83 |
| WHIP | 1.227 | 0.918 to 1.711 | +/- 0.397 |
624 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.288 |
| K% | 25.6% |
| BB% | 13.2% |
| Barrel | 7.2% |
686 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.276 |
| K% | 24.5% |
| BB% | 10.0% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |