Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.261 vs 0.216 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Lee, Jung Hoo
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.331 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.334 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.309
0.320
0.334
0.347
0.359
wOBA
0.336
0.356
0.378
0.400
0.420
ISO
0.129
0.143
0.159
0.175
0.189
K%
8.7%
9.8%
11.1%
12.3%
13.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%5.5%
16
-15 vs proj
Barrel%2.7%
22
Bat speed66.8
19
Exit velocity88.2
47
Hard-hit%32.6%
22
K%10.0%
98
xBA0.347
71
xSLG0.454
32
xwOBA0.331
69
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · RF
34
Arm Strength95.4 · RF
74
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
45
Range Runs-1.3 · RF
30
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · RF
19
Sprint Speed27.2 · RF
47
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.6% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions63.9% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · borderline
22
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
72
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
61
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.380 · validated
6
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.323 · validated
97
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
175 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.056 |
| Sample | 220 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 530 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.323 | 0.310 to 0.369 | +/- 0.029 |
| ISO | 0.142 | 0.126 to 0.230 | +/- 0.052 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 2.3% to 6.0% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.0% | 31.8% to 41.2% | +/- 4.7% |
| K% | 11.5% | 9.6% to 17.6% | +/- 4.0% |
| BB% | 7.2% | 5.5% to 10.4% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.277 to 0.324 | +/- 0.023 |
vs LHP
220 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.216 |
| K% | 10.6% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |
vs RHP
577 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.261 |
| K% | 7.6% |
| BB% | 6.2% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |