Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.261 vs 0.216 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Lee, Jung Hoo
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.311 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.320 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.298
0.309
0.320
0.332
0.343
wOBA
0.329
0.345
0.362
0.379
0.394
ISO
0.126
0.138
0.151
0.163
0.175
K%
8.5%
9.4%
10.4%
11.4%
12.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.2%
14
Exit velocity87.0
34
Hard-hit%29.7%
14
-17 vs proj
xBA0.324
54
xSLG0.423
20
xwOBA0.311
54
BB%4.4%
11
-22 vs proj
Bat speed66.6
16
K%9.4%
99
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.8 · RF
9
Arm Strength95.4 · RF
69
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
11
Range Runs-3.8 · RF
13
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · RF
54
Sprint Speed27.3 · RF
48
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.1% · rebadged research
53
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.5% · rebadged research
12
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
31
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
34
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
43
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373 · validated
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.319 · validated
98
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
211 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| Sample | 363 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 530 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.323 | 0.310 to 0.369 | +/- 0.029 |
| ISO | 0.142 | 0.126 to 0.230 | +/- 0.052 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 2.3% to 6.0% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.0% | 31.8% to 41.2% | +/- 4.7% |
| K% | 11.5% | 9.6% to 17.6% | +/- 4.0% |
| BB% | 7.2% | 5.5% to 10.4% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.277 to 0.324 | +/- 0.023 |
vs LHP
220 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.216 |
| K% | 10.6% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |
vs RHP
577 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.261 |
| K% | 7.6% |
| BB% | 6.2% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |