The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McGonigle, Kevin in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats L · 435 PA
Ranked comps for McGonigle, Kevin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 327 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactOppo rateAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 321 PA | 0.62 | Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactWalk rate | Hard-hit rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA | 0.61 | xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Walk rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.4zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 421 PA | 0.61 | xwOBA on contactPull rateIsolated power | Walk rate -1.5zSwing length +1.5zGround-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Thomas, Lane KC · R · 288 PA | 0.60 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateSwing length | Fly-ball rate -1.7zStrikeout rate +1.4zOppo rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Loftin, Nick KC · R · 225 PA | 0.60 | Sprint speedStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 280 PA | 0.59 | Swing lengthChase rateOppo rate | Walk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Ward, Taylor BAL · R · 446 PA | 0.59 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactSwing length | Fly-ball rate -1.4zPull rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA | 0.59 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -1.4zWhiff rate +1.1zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 442 PA | 0.57 | In-zone contactIsolated powerSwing length | Fly-ball rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.6zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.57 | Oppo rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact | Walk rate -2.1zChase rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Busch, Michael CHC · L · 442 PA | 0.55 | Walk rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Sprint speed -1.8zWhiff rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.