The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Busch, Michael in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats L · 726 PA
Ranked comps for Busch, Michael
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 641 PA | 0.77 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Strikeout rate -1.1zBat speed +0.9zMax exit velocity -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 685 PA | 0.69 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Pull rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.0zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed | Bat speed +1.5zSwing length +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 492 PA | 0.66 | Chase rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.5zIn-zone contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 485 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactChase rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.7zBat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 525 PA | 0.64 | Swing lengthGround-ball rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.64 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactPull rate | Walk rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.1zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.64 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate | Bat speed +1.6zSprint speed +1.4zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Norby, Connor MIA · R · 391 PA | 0.64 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactSwing length | Sprint speed +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.5zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA | 0.63 | Pull rateOppo rateIn-zone contact | Walk rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.5zBat speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 515 PA | 0.63 | Barrel rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.0zWalk rate -1.2zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 675 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity | Fly-ball rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.6zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.