Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 206 lb |
| Debut | 2025-07-29 |
Player profile / Colorado Rockies
Troy Johnston
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 11", 206 lb · Age 29
Club Colorado Rockies
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 121 | 12 | 31 | 4 | 2 | .277 | .331 | .420 | .751 |
| 2026 | 314 | 33 | 83 | 3 | 4 | .301 | .374 | .417 | .791 |
| 2 Seasons | 435 | 45 | 114 | 7 | 6 | .294 | .362 | .418 | .780 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
53
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.306 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.320 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.284
0.301
0.320
0.340
0.357
wOBA
0.355
0.372
0.390
0.408
0.424
ISO
0.109
0.126
0.145
0.163
0.180
K%
15.7%
17.3%
19.1%
20.9%
22.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
11
-34 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
65
Hard-hit%40.2%
55
+18 vs proj
xBA0.348
77
xSLG0.473
36
xwOBA0.330
72
BB%9.1%
55
+21 vs proj
Bat speed68.4
32
K%17.8%
75
+35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
41
Arm Strength85.9 · RF
6
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs-2.1 · RF
26
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.6 · RF
26
SB Success Rate57.1% · RF
7
Sprint Speed26.1 · RF
20
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.3% · rebadged research
26
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
18
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
23
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · borderline
9
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
39
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
46
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
84
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365 · validated
12
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
168 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.057 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Johnston’s wOBA sits at 0.390, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.330 — a gap of 0.060, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 331 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jung, Josh TEX · R | 0.71 | Strikeout rateSprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Caratini, Victor MIN · L | 0.69 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Larnach, Trevor MIN · L | 0.68 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-24 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs TEX0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-17 vs LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB, HBP |
| 2026-04-14 @ HOU0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | RBI |