The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Durbin, Caleb in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats R · 339 PA

Ranked comps for Durbin, Caleb

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 331 PA 0.78 Bat speedMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.1zWhiff rate -0.9zChase rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 233 PA 0.68 Avg exit velocityBat speedFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zSwing length +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Hicks, Liam MIA · L · 359 PA 0.66 Bat speedHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Sprint speed -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 319 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Chase rate +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 250 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Chase rate +1.8zSwing length +1.4zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 219 PA 0.64 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Oppo rate +1.3zSwing length +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Palacios, Richie TB · L · 238 PA 0.62 Oppo rateBat speedMax exit velocity Walk rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 220 PA 0.62 Chase rateWhiff rateBarrel rate Avg exit velocity +1.7zSprint speed -1.4zBat speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 236 PA 0.61 Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.2zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA 0.60 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate Isolated power -1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.2zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 363 PA 0.59 Bat speedMax exit velocityBarrel rate Swing length +1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 337 PA 0.59 Whiff rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.9zSprint speed -1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.