Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026

Yoshida, Masataka

Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach

Primary
0.306 xwOBA
Range
0.273 to 0.364
Live Δ
yes
Team BOS Archetype Balanced regular Age 33 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.308
xwOBA current pace0.315
xwOBA rolling p500.311
Observed weight40%
xwOBA
0.277 0.293 0.311 0.328 0.344
wOBA
0.317 0.341 0.368 0.395 0.419
ISO
0.094 0.115 0.138 0.162 0.183
K%
8.4% 10.2% 12.3% 14.3% 16.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%10.1%
67 +47 vs proj
Barrel%1.4%
8 -35 vs proj
Bat speed69.6
49
Exit velocity88.3
47
Hard-hit%40.5%
52
K%9.5%
99
xBA0.276
14
xSLG0.390
13
xwOBA0.315
56
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · LF
Limited
Outs Above Avg-0.7 · LF · small sample regression applied
29 Regression applied
Range Runs-1.5 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · DH
22
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.1% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.3% · rebadged research
11
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
85
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.304 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
69
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.336 · validated
89
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Yoshida, Masataka · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.2932026-05-19: 0.2932026-05-21: 0.2902026-05-23: 0.2922026-05-24: 0.2902026-05-25: 0.3012026-05-26: 0.3012026-05-28: 0.3082026-05-29: 0.3082026-05-30: 0.3082026-05-31: 0.3112026-06-01: 0.315 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

111 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Yoshida, Masataka · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-03-17 · field out · CU · popup · EV 71.9 / LA 59.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 49.9 / LA -51.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 82.9 / LA 23.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -26.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 32.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA 3.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -17.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 90.3 / LA 74.02026-03-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 11.02026-03-22 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 10.02026-03-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 0.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -5.02026-03-24 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 14.02026-03-24 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 87.9 / LA 19.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 46.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -5.02026-03-31 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 3.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 76.7 / LA 33.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA -10.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 19.02026-04-05 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -21.02026-04-05 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 19.02026-04-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 13.02026-04-05 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 4.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 27.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -14.02026-04-06 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 3.02026-04-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.6 / LA 10.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 66.7 / LA 0.02026-04-14 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 0.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -23.02026-04-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -3.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 42.02026-04-15 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 24.02026-04-15 · fielders choice · FS · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -22.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA -57.02026-04-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -28.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA -1.02026-04-20 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 79.7 / LA 13.02026-04-20 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.4 / LA 22.02026-04-20 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 72.4 / LA -1.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 24.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 0.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 34.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -17.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -14.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA -25.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA -27.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 41.02026-04-23 · field out · CU · popup · EV 56.2 / LA 58.02026-04-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -6.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.3 / LA -4.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 65.4 / LA 60.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -34.02026-04-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -8.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 43.02026-05-03 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 70.9 / LA 38.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -33.02026-05-04 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 42.02026-05-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 0.02026-05-04 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -16.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.0 / LA 11.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 20.02026-05-06 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 36.02026-05-07 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 39.8 / LA -34.02026-05-07 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA -3.02026-05-07 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -8.02026-05-08 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -4.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · popup · EV 61.9 / LA 72.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.0 / LA 7.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 67.1 / LA 66.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.2 / LA -18.02026-05-10 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 12.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -14.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.6 / LA 8.02026-05-12 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 26.02026-05-12 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA 3.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA -44.02026-05-13 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 39.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 52.8 / LA -14.02026-05-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 73.2 / LA 46.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 34.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 3.02026-05-16 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 80.1 / LA 27.02026-05-18 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 30.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 20.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -9.02026-05-18 · triple · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 26.02026-05-19 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 24.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 2.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.6 / LA -5.02026-05-20 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 47.2 / LA -67.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 27.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 6.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.9 / LA -27.02026-05-22 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 76.7 / LA -10.02026-05-23 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA -18.02026-05-24 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 108.6 / LA 24.02026-05-24 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -9.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 40.02026-05-24 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 32.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 42.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 40.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 21.02026-05-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 2.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 10.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 15.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.1 / LA -22.02026-05-31 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 84.6 / LA 13.02026-05-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 79.4 / LA 16.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · popup · EV 89.6 / LA 60.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Yoshida, Masataka · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 11%11%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 89%89%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.260 vs 0.225 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
3
templated note
Age-33 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.009
wOBA Δ+0.062
Sample148 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances358----
Home Runs9----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3060.273 to 0.364+/- 0.046
ISO0.1510.102 to 0.245+/- 0.071
Barrel%4.6%2.6% to 7.3%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%40.1%32.9% to 47.4%+/- 7.3%
K%14.9%10.7% to 22.8%+/- 6.1%
BB%6.0%4.2% to 8.6%+/- 2.2%
BABIP0.2990.259 to 0.355+/- 0.048
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

300 career PA

xwOBA0.225
K%11.4%
BB%5.2%
Barrel2.6%
vs RHP

967 career PA

xwOBA0.260
K%10.4%
BB%4.6%
Barrel4.3%