The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Happ, Ian in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats L · 652 PA

Ranked comps for Happ, Ian

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA 0.73 Fly-ball rateOppo rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.3zPull rate +0.9zIsolated power +0.8z
02 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 617 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateStrikeout rate Oppo rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0z
03 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 502 PA 0.67 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Swing length +1.8zWalk rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -0.9z
04 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 506 PA 0.67 Chase rateMax exit velocityIsolated power Swing length +2.1zOppo rate -0.8zWalk rate -0.8z
05 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 479 PA 0.65 Swing lengthAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.7zStrikeout rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z
06 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.65 In-zone contactSprint speedHard-hit rate Swing length +1.4zPull rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.1z
07 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA 0.61 In-zone contactStrikeout rateOppo rate Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3z
08 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 439 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateHard-hit rate Walk rate -2.0zOppo rate +0.9zPull rate -0.9z
09 Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 552 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Swing length +2.3zPull rate +1.2zChase rate +1.0z
10 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 393 PA 0.59 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2z
11 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA 0.59 Pull rateHard-hit rateBat speed Swing length +1.7zSprint speed -1.6zIsolated power -1.1z
12 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.59 Sprint speedBarrel rateIsolated power In-zone contact +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.5zOppo rate +1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.