Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-06-15 · saved artifact ROWS 23 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-06-15

Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn experimental Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 98.0 F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 2	2.0%Under prob · Fangorn	40.8%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.273count	2.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
02	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs KC	P 13.1 F 15.4 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Fangorn	68.8%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.679count	84.5%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
03	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 14.4 F 15.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.0%Under prob · Fangorn	69.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.717count	85.0%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
04	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs STL	P 26.1 F 27.9 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.2%Under prob · Fangorn	58.3%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.997count	72.2%selected	4.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
05	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 12.2 F 11.5 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.5%Under prob · Fangorn	33.9%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.653count	88.5%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
06	Gavin SheetsSD	SD vs STL	P 15.9 F 18.3 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Fangorn	73.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.743count	81.7%selected	3.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
07	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 21.1 F 21.6 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Fangorn	68.8%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.876count	78.3%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
08	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs STL	P 20.3 F 19.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.9%Under prob · Fangorn	69.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.857count	80.9%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
09	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 23.8 F 26.2 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.8%Under prob · Fangorn	67.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.942count	73.8%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
10	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs KC	P 14.6 F 16.4 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.6%Under prob · Fangorn	36.4%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.723count	83.6%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
11	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 20.2 F 19.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Fangorn	32.3%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.848count	81.0%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
12	James WoodWSH	WSH vs KC	P 26.5 F 25.3 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.7%Under prob · Fangorn	66.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	1.008count	74.7%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
13	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs STL	P 25.2 F 23.4 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.6%Under prob · Fangorn	68.8%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.976count	76.6%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
14	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs KC	P 22.1 F 22.7 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.3%Under prob · Fangorn	72.2%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.903count	77.3%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
15	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs STL	P 28.9 F 28.9 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.1%Under prob · Fangorn	66.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	1.064count	71.1%selected	4.4role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
16	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 18.5 F 19.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 0.5 1 of 2	19.1%Over prob · Fangorn	55.6%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.811count	19.1%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
17	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs KC	P 29.5 F 30.1 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.9%Under prob · Fangorn	66.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	1.077count	69.9%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
18	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 27.6 F 25.8 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.2%Under prob · Fangorn	68.8%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	1.033count	74.2%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
19	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 23.7 F 24.3 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.7%Under prob · Fangorn	73.0%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	0.941count	75.7%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
20	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 35.3 F 34.7 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 0.5 1 of 2	34.7%Over prob · Fangorn	72.2%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	1.216count	34.7%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
21	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 21.5 F 20.3 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.3%Over prob · Fangorn	62.3%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	0.886count	20.3%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
22	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs KC	P 32.5 F 33.7 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.3%Under prob · Fangorn	66.7%no-vig	--	2+ Hitsline	1.149count	66.3%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
23	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 32.4 F 33.0 EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes	Under 0.5 1 of 2	67.0%Under prob · Fangorn	27.0%no-vig	--	1+ Hitline	1.147count	67.0%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books