Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Daylen Lile

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs KCMitch Spence
Sample603.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 22.6
F 13.4
V 13.4
Model 19.2% Market 11.1% Gap +7.7pp
DraftKings 770 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 78.1
F 78.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 77.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 78.1% Market 75.4% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel -365 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 29.5
F 30.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 29.5% Market -- Gap +3.9pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
59
Exit velocity87.8
42
Hard-hit%37.0%
38
xBA0.325
55
xSLG0.528
55
xwOBA0.327
66
BB%7.3%
32
Bat speed69.2
44
K%17.0%
79
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.5 · LF
92
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
15
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
89
Range Runs1.8 · LF
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · LF
38
Bolts18.0 · LF
83
SB Success Rate66.7% · LF
20
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
94
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1%
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2%
77
Correct Decisions65.6%
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.392
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.367
RegressionNegative · -0.028
Opposing pitcherMitch Spence
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)