Mithrandir Metrics
MIA 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Liam Hicks

MIA · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 8 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupMIA vs PHIZack Wheeler
Sample563.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 28 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 57.5
F 56.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V 56.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.5% Market 56.2% Gap +1.2pp
FanDuel -140 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 12.2
F 11.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 12.2% Market -- Gap +14.0pp
FanDuel 290 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
27
Exit velocity85.1
17
Hard-hit%31.1%
17
xBA0.282
17
xSLG0.415
18
xwOBA0.321
62
BB%9.6%
62
Bat speed66.2
14
K%8.9%
100 +16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.1 · C
46
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
62
Framing Runs-1.5 · C
29
Outs Above Avg1.0 · C
100
Pop Time2.0 · C
28
Range Runs1.0 · C
100
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.7 · C
0
Sprint Speed25.7 · C
15
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.7%
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.6%
80
Correct Decisions69.3%
80
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.322 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.307 to 0.356
RegressionNegative · -0.057
Opposing pitcherZack Wheeler
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)