Mithrandir Metrics
MIA 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Otto Lopez

MIA · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 9 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupMIA vs PHIZack Wheeler
Sample1240.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 62.5
F 63.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 62.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 62.5% Market 60.7% Gap +1.8pp
FanDuel -170 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 14.4
F 15.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 14.4% Market -- Gap +15.9pp
FanDuel 230 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
60 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity89.9
68
Hard-hit%46.1%
78 +38 vs proj
xBA0.358
80
xSLG0.545
61
xwOBA0.341
75 +21 vs proj
BB%3.5%
7 -22 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
55
K%15.2%
87
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · SS
96
Arm Strength83.9 · SS
34
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
70
Range Runs0.5 · SS
56
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.0 · SS
97
Bolts2.0 · SS
38
SB Success Rate80.0% · SS
46
Sprint Speed28.3 · SS
78
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.8%
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 34.5%
5
Correct Decisions60.2%
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
9
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.338 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.367
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.413
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.301 to 0.368
RegressionNegative · -0.069
Opposing pitcherZack Wheeler
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)