Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Alec Bohm

PHI · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPHI vs MIARyan Gusto
Sample2949.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 23 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 18.2% Market 10.7% Gap +7.2pp
DraftKings 805 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 80.9
F 79.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 82.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 80.9% Market 78.1% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel -435 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 27.6
F 25.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 27.6% Market -- Gap +3.7pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.1%
23 -20 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
75
Hard-hit%42.1%
61
xBA0.287
20
xSLG0.420
19
xwOBA0.292
33 -36 vs proj
BB%6.6%
25
Bat speed69.6
49
K%14.6%
88
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.2 · 3B
19
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
26
Range Runs-2.6 · 3B
19
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.5 · 3B
28
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1%
87
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9%
54
Correct Decisions70.2%
86
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.355 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.315
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.298 to 0.382
RegressionNegative · -0.031
Opposing pitcherRyan Gusto
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)