Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Kyle Schwarber

PHI · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPHI vs MIARyan Gusto
Sample4803.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 21.3% Market 27.0% Gap -5.7pp
BetMGM 270 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 73.3
F 72.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 71.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 73.3% Market 70.9% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel -280 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 20.2
F 19.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 20.2% Market -- Gap +7.2pp
FanDuel 280 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.9%
97
Exit velocity93.1
95
Hard-hit%51.0%
92
xBA0.407
97
xSLG0.893
99
xwOBA0.378
94
BB%13.7%
92
Bat speed74.1
94
K%34.2%
4
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.2 · LF
30 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.9 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · DH
18
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.6%
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6%
66
Correct Decisions68.7%
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.361 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.418
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.321 to 0.436
RegressionNegative · -0.035
Opposing pitcherRyan Gusto
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)