Mithrandir Metrics
PHI 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Brandon Marsh

PHI · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 6 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupPHI vs MIARyan Gusto
Sample2097.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 18.8% Market 11.0% Gap +7.4pp
DraftKings 780 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 74.8
F 77.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 75.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 74.8% Market 72.2% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel -305 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.8
F 26.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.8% Market -- Gap +8.5pp
FanDuel 210 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
57
Exit velocity89.9
70
Hard-hit%46.8%
82
xBA0.395
95
xSLG0.604
76
xwOBA0.336
73
BB%4.9%
12 -55 vs proj
Bat speed69.7
52
K%23.1%
43 +19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.4 · LF
2
Arm Strength93.7 · LF
62
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs-0.3 · LF
44
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · LF
60
SB Success Rate83.3% · LF
65
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
75
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.5%
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.0%
13
Correct Decisions64.5%
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.384
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.395
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.286 to 0.377
RegressionNegative · -0.064
Opposing pitcherRyan Gusto
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)