Mithrandir Metrics
MIA 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Xavier Edwards

MIA · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIA vs PHIZack Wheeler
Sample1168.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 8.8
F 9.1
V 9.1
Model 4.8% Market 8.0% Gap -3.2pp
BetMGM 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 71.6
F 72.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 71.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 71.6% Market 69.5% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel -260 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 23.7
F 24.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 23.7% Market -- Gap +3.3pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
39 +33 vs proj
Exit velocity86.6
29
Hard-hit%31.5%
18
xBA0.323
51
xSLG0.478
40
xwOBA0.342
76 +36 vs proj
BB%11.8%
81 +39 vs proj
Bat speed65.7
10
K%12.1%
94
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength77.5 · 2B
3
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
86
Range Runs2.0 · 2B
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · 2B
82
Bolts1.0 · 2B
17
SB Success Rate80.0% · 2B
46
Sprint Speed28.1 · 2B
72
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.3%
88
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1%
39
Correct Decisions68.0%
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.414
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.261 to 0.340
RegressionNegative · -0.041
Opposing pitcherZack Wheeler
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)