Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-15 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-15

Cj Abrams

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs KCMitch Spence
Sample2227.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 23.2
F 26.0
V 26.0
Model 22.3% Market 13.9% Gap +7.8pp
FanDuel 590 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 65.0
F 66.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 65.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 65.0% Market 63.2% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel -195 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 32.5
F 33.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 32.5% Market -- Gap +0.9pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
72 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity90.0
71
Hard-hit%42.7%
64
xBA0.350
75
xSLG0.604
77
xwOBA0.359
85 +20 vs proj
BB%9.5%
60 +37 vs proj
Bat speed70.8
69
K%20.0%
62
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.0 · SS
59
Outs Above Avg-9.0 · SS
2
Range Runs-6.5 · SS
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · SS
69
Bolts5.0 · SS
55
SB Success Rate72.7% · SS
28
Sprint Speed28.5 · SS
83
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.1%
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1%
51
Correct Decisions65.4%
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
39
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.309 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.398 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.422
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.304 to 0.369
RegressionNegative · -0.065
Opposing pitcherMitch Spence
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-15
Palantir 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5871 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)