Mithrandir Metrics
WSH National League East Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Washington Nationals

69.4-92.6 with P10-P90 wins 60-79. 82.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
69.4-92.6
Live pace
80.2
Delta
+10.8
Record 48-49 Run diff 7 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason69.0
Current pace80.2
Rolling p5075.9
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
66.0 70.7 75.9 81.1 85.8
MOVE +6.9 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.51
October path

Projection odds

Division0.2%
Playoffs2.1%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.249
Rotation FIP4.52
Bullpen FIP4.51
Run diff-103.4
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CRuiz, Keibert395-0.60
1BGarcía Jr.., Luis5303.27
2BNuñez, Nasim2600.96
SSAbrams, Cj5933.00
3BMead, Curtis356-0.55
LFLile, Daylen3783.14
CFYoung, Jacob447-0.53
RFWood, James5929.29
DHCrews, Dylan3881.51