Mithrandir Metrics
WSH National League East Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Washington Nationals

69.4-92.6 with P10-P90 wins 60-79. 82.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
69.4-92.6
Live pace
77.0
Delta
+7.6
Record 76-84 Run diff 10 Generated 2026-09-26T11:49:00.008592+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason69.0
Current pace77.0
Rolling p5074.8
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
66.2 70.2 74.8 79.3 83.4
MOVE +5.8 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.51
October path

Projection odds

Division0.2%
Playoffs2.1%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.249
Rotation FIP4.52
Bullpen FIP4.51
Run diff-103.4
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-26; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-25.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CRuiz, Keibert395-0.60
1BChaparro, Andrés2500.42
2BVivas, Jorbit2410.03
SSAbrams, Cj5933.00
3BHouse, Brady339-0.52
LFLile, Daylen3783.14
CFYoung, Jacob447-0.53
RFCrews, Dylan3881.51
DHWood, James5929.29
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Millas, DrewHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Parker, MitchellPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Waldichuk, KenPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Waldron, MattPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Early, ConnellyPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Ribalta, OrlandoPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Poulin, PjPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Pinckney, AndrewHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Palmquist, CarsonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Schultz, PaxtonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Bird, JakePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Nicolas, KylePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Kent, ZakPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Beeter, ClaytonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Yean, EddyPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors