Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.97 |
| ERA current pace | 2.83 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.49 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 36.5% | 215 | 106 | qualified |
| SL | 35.1% | 207 | 102 | qualified |
| SI | 22.1% | 130 | 109 | limited sample |
| CH | 6.3% | 37 | 98 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.57 |
| K% Δ | +0.018 |
| Sample | 42.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 71.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 305 | -- | -- |
| K% | 19.4% | 16.6% to 25.8% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 5.6% to 10.4% | +/- 2.4% |
| Whiff% | 19.4% | 16.5% to 23.2% | +/- 3.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.38 | 0.98 to 2.02 | +/- 0.52 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.332 | 0.292 to 0.364 | +/- 0.036 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.8% | 5.2% to 10.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| ERA | 4.40 | 3.37 to 6.34 | +/- 1.48 |
| FIP | 4.33 | 3.47 to 5.48 | +/- 1.01 |
| WHIP | 1.283 | 1.091 to 1.559 | +/- 0.234 |
| xwOBA | 0.309 |
| K% | 18.3% |
| BB% | 8.0% |
| Barrel | 8.1% |
| xwOBA | 0.281 |
| K% | 17.0% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 5.6% |
