Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / AZ · 2026
Perdomo, Geraldo
On-base driven regular with stable floor
Team AZ
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
26
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.327 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.326 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.327 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.304
0.315
0.327
0.339
0.349
wOBA
0.321
0.335
0.351
0.367
0.382
ISO
0.107
0.118
0.131
0.145
0.156
K%
10.5%
11.5%
12.5%
13.6%
14.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.2%
15
Exit velocity85.7
23
Hard-hit%30.5%
16
xBA0.294
23
xSLG0.397
12
xwOBA0.326
69
BB%14.4%
95
Bat speed63.4
3
K%11.9%
96
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
48
Arm Strength89.2 · SS
71
Outs Above Avg9.0 · SS
98
Range Runs6.6 · SS
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · SS
23
SB Success Rate68.4% · SS
23
Sprint Speed26.9 · SS
37
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.5% · rebadged research
86
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions66.5% · rebadged research
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
19
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
48
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
99
Resists FastballwOBA 0.372 · validated
9
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
82
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
209 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| Sample | 404 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 611 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.335 | 0.303 to 0.369 | +/- 0.033 |
| ISO | 0.155 | 0.112 to 0.231 | +/- 0.059 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 1.8% to 5.2% | +/- 1.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 29.3% | 25.7% to 36.7% | +/- 5.5% |
| K% | 13.4% | 10.9% to 19.2% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 12.2% | 9.7% to 15.3% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.303 | 0.280 to 0.349 | +/- 0.034 |
vs LHP
615 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 9.5% |
| BB% | 9.2% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |
vs RHP
1686 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.277 |
| K% | 12.6% |
| BB% | 11.5% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |