The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carter, Evan in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats L · 461 PA
Ranked comps for Carter, Evan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 521 PA | 0.61 | Oppo rateBat speedWalk rate | Max exit velocity +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA | 0.60 | Sprint speedBarrel rateSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.7zMax exit velocity +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 524 PA | 0.58 | Barrel rateChase ratexwOBA on contact | In-zone contact +1.8zWhiff rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 355 PA | 0.58 | Sprint speedIsolated powerSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +2.4zFly-ball rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Walls, Taylor TB · L · 435 PA | 0.57 | Walk ratePull rateMax exit velocity | Hard-hit rate -1.6zBat speed -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Norby, Connor MIA · R · 387 PA | 0.55 | In-zone contactWhiff rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Mullins, Cedric TB · L · 514 PA | 0.52 | Barrel rateBat speedOppo rate | Chase rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA | 0.51 | Bat speedGround-ball rateSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Thomas, Lane KC · R · 393 PA | 0.50 | Chase rateSwing lengthStrikeout rate | Avg exit velocity +1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.6zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 486 PA | 0.49 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateBat speed | Avg exit velocity +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 436 PA | 0.49 | Max exit velocitySwing lengthxwOBA on contact | In-zone contact +2.0zFly-ball rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 665 PA | 0.48 | Barrel rateHard-hit ratePull rate | Whiff rate -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.