Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Peters, Tristan
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CWS
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.256 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.292 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 45% |
xwOBA
0.209
0.239
0.273
0.306
0.337
wOBA
0.347
0.369
0.394
0.419
0.441
ISO
0.054
0.083
0.116
0.148
0.177
K%
16.6%
20.3%
24.5%
28.6%
32.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.3%
33
Barrel%3.4%
26
Bat speed63.7
3
Exit velocity80.7
3
Hard-hit%27.3%
9
K%18.4%
72
+58 vs proj
xBA0.308
34
xSLG0.439
27
xwOBA0.292
34
+29 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · CF
51
Arm Strength87.4 · CF
15
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs4.8 · CF
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · CF
86
Bolts1.0 · CF
17
Sprint Speed28.8 · CF
89
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.3% · rebadged research
34
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.8% · rebadged research
94
Correct Decisions70.3% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.312 · borderline
11
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.255 · insufficient sample
97
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.299 · validated thin sample
8
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.368 · insufficient sample
4
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
87
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
70
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.053 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.154 |
| Sample | 179 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 211 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.240 | 0.104 to 0.324 | +/- 0.110 |
| ISO | 0.139 | 0.001 to 0.219 | +/- 0.109 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 0.2% to 5.8% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.2% | 10.3% to 42.0% | +/- 15.9% |
| K% | 29.8% | 11.8% to 39.6% | +/- 13.9% |
| BB% | 6.8% | 0.5% to 9.2% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.133 to 0.352 | +/- 0.109 |
vs LHP
6 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.012 |
| K% | 3.8% |
| BB% | 0.2% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
22 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.013 |
| K% | 3.5% |
| BB% | 0.3% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |