Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / TB · 2026
Walls, Taylor
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TB
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
7
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.254 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.260 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.237
0.248
0.260
0.272
0.283
wOBA
0.274
0.287
0.302
0.317
0.331
ISO
0.067
0.080
0.095
0.110
0.123
K%
21.3%
22.5%
23.7%
25.0%
26.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.6%
8
Exit velocity80.3
2
Hard-hit%22.2%
5
xBA0.266
10
xSLG0.366
6
xwOBA0.254
11
BB%10.6%
75
Bat speed62.9
3
K%23.7%
46
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · SS
84
Arm Strength86.1 · SS
42
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · SS
14
Range Runs-2.0 · SS
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.6 · SS
84
SB Success Rate90.5% · SS
81
Sprint Speed27.9 · SS
61
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.5% · rebadged research
83
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions68.0% · rebadged research
70
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
51
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
74
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.246 · validated thin sample
98
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
8
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.328 · validated
94
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
179 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.020 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.028 |
| Sample | 435 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 395 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.274 | 0.232 to 0.319 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.110 | 0.073 to 0.226 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 1.9% | 1.0% to 5.2% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 26.5% | 20.3% to 40.1% | +/- 9.9% |
| K% | 24.2% | 21.1% to 31.2% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 9.3% | 6.5% to 12.8% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.220 to 0.326 | +/- 0.053 |
vs LHP
480 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.199 |
| K% | 19.3% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |
vs RHP
1167 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.203 |
| K% | 18.5% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |