Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	252	27	40	1	16	.183	.282	.248	.530
2025	317	36	62	4	14	.220	.280	.319	.599
2026	267	36	48	0	13	.213	.310	.280	.590
6 Seasons	1827	217	313	22	79	.197	.290	.296	.586

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17

7

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

18

Defense4 metrics

42

Speed3 metrics

74

Plate skills10 metrics

65

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17

xwOBA preseason	0.273
xwOBA current pace	0.255
xwOBA rolling p50	0.263
Observed weight	55%

xwOBA

0.236 0.249 0.263 0.277 0.290

wOBA

0.262 0.278 0.297 0.316 0.333

ISO

0.062 0.079 0.098 0.116 0.133

K%

21.5% 22.9% 24.4% 26.0% 27.4%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%2.2%

14

Exit velocity80.8

2

Hard-hit%21.8%

4

xBA0.267

9

xSLG0.367

6

xwOBA0.255

8

BB%11.7%

82 +23 vs proj

Bat speed63.6

4

K%24.9%

37

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs0.2 · SS

72

Arm Strength83.8 · SS

32

Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS

28

Range Runs-0.8 · SS

38

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs2.6 · SS

93

SB Success Rate85.7% · SS

67

Sprint Speed27.8 · SS

61

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17

Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.9% · rebadged research

87

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1% · rebadged research

40

Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research

75

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline

49

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample

84

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample

91

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.363 · insufficient sample

7

Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated

42

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.334 · validated

93

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106

78

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

117 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.4σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.297

xwOBA (deserved)0.255

Walls’s wOBA sits at 0.297, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.255 — a gap of 0.042, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 273 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Martin, Austin MIN · R	0.57	Sprint speedSweet-spot rate	Player · Projection
Friedl, TJ CIN · L	0.57	Barrel ratexwOBA on contact	Player · Projection
Nuñez, Nasim WSH · L	0.56	Max exit velocityWalk rate	Player · Projection
McKinstry, Zach DET · L	0.55	Max exit velocitySprint speed	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.274 xwOBA \| 7 HR	Projection
2026-05-20 vs BAL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| BB
2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR \| 0 RBI / 7 Ch \| 0 E	0-3 \| BB, K
2026-04-15 @ CWS0 HR \| 0 RBI / 6 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| R
2026-04-14 @ CWS0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| BB, K, SB
2026-04-12 vs NYY0 HR \| 1 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	2-3 \| K, RBI, R

Age	30
Height	5' 9"
Weight	185 lb
Debut	2021-05-22

xwOBA Δ	-0.019
wOBA Δ	+0.023

Hitter Projections 20260.274 xwOBA \| 7 HR	Projection
2026-05-20 vs BAL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| BB
2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR \| 0 RBI / 7 Ch \| 0 E	0-3 \| BB, K
2026-04-15 @ CWS0 HR \| 0 RBI / 6 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| R
2026-04-14 @ CWS0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| BB, K, SB
2026-04-12 vs NYY0 HR \| 1 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	2-3 \| K, RBI, R

Taylor Walls

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail