The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McCarthy, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 611 PA
Ranked comps for McCarthy, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 480 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.3zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate | Chase rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Martínez, Angel CLE · L · 426 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zHard-hit rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 602 PA | 0.57 | Oppo rateBat speedWhiff rate | Sprint speed -2.0zAvg exit velocity +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA | 0.56 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Avg exit velocity +1.8zOppo rate +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Peters, Tristan CWS · L · 501 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateIsolated powerWhiff rate | Pull rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA | 0.52 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate | Sprint speed -2.3zAvg exit velocity +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 596 PA | 0.51 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityWalk rate | Oppo rate +2.6zAvg exit velocity +1.2zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 490 PA | 0.50 | Bat speedChase ratePull rate | Oppo rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 513 PA | 0.49 | Ground-ball rateSwing lengthPull rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.7zIsolated power -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Young, Cole SEA · L · 654 PA | 0.49 | Barrel rateSwing lengthStrikeout rate | Avg exit velocity +2.0zSprint speed -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA | 0.48 | Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateIsolated power | Fly-ball rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.