The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McCarthy, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 611 PA

Ranked comps for McCarthy, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Church, Nathan STL · L · 480 PA 0.65 Barrel rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.3zSprint speed -1.1z
02 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA 0.60 Barrel rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Chase rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z
03 Martínez, Angel CLE · L · 426 PA 0.59 Oppo rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zHard-hit rate +0.9z
04 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 602 PA 0.57 Oppo rateBat speedWhiff rate Sprint speed -2.0zAvg exit velocity +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z
05 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateBarrel rate Avg exit velocity +1.8zOppo rate +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.3z
06 Peters, Tristan CWS · L · 501 PA 0.53 Barrel rateIsolated powerWhiff rate Pull rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2z
07 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.52 Whiff rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Sprint speed -2.3zAvg exit velocity +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.3z
08 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 596 PA 0.51 Barrel rateMax exit velocityWalk rate Oppo rate +2.6zAvg exit velocity +1.2zChase rate +1.1z
09 Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 490 PA 0.50 Bat speedChase ratePull rate Oppo rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z
10 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 513 PA 0.49 Ground-ball rateSwing lengthPull rate Sweet-spot rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.7zIsolated power -1.3z
11 Young, Cole SEA · L · 654 PA 0.49 Barrel rateSwing lengthStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity +2.0zSprint speed -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.4z
12 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA 0.48 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateIsolated power Fly-ball rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.