The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Larnach, Trevor in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 307 PA

Ranked comps for Larnach, Trevor

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA 0.74 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate -1.2zPull rate +0.8zChase rate -0.7z
02 Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 419 PA 0.72 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateChase rate Swing length +1.8zWhiff rate -1.1zFly-ball rate +0.8z
03 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA 0.71 Bat speedMax exit velocitySprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z
04 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 328 PA 0.69 Fly-ball rateOppo rateBarrel rate Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.1z
05 Johnston, Troy COL · L · 331 PA 0.68 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Barrel rate -1.4zSwing length -1.1zChase rate +0.9z
06 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA 0.67 Isolated powerIn-zone contactSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1zHard-hit rate +1.1z
07 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA 0.66 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power Whiff rate -1.8zIn-zone contact +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0z
08 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 421 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBarrel rate Hard-hit rate +1.4zChase rate -1.2zWhiff rate -1.1z
09 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 311 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateChase rate Whiff rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +0.9z
10 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.65 Sprint speedBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.0z
11 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 280 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactBarrel ratePull rate Sprint speed -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.0z
12 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.64 Swing lengthSprint speedPull rate Oppo rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.