The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carter, Evan in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 278 PA

Ranked comps for Carter, Evan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 244 PA 0.74 Pull rateSwing lengthIsolated power Chase rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA 0.71 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Max exit velocity +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 327 PA 0.68 Chase rateBarrel rateOppo rate In-zone contact +1.3zSprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 304 PA 0.62 Strikeout rateSprint speedIsolated power Chase rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 288 PA 0.58 Max exit velocityWalk rateSprint speed Avg exit velocity +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Freeland, Alex LAD · L · 241 PA 0.58 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateBat speed Oppo rate +1.7zSprint speed -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Matthews, Brice HOU · R · 241 PA 0.56 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Walk rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.5zIn-zone contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA 0.55 Isolated powerBarrel rateWalk rate Sprint speed -2.1zAvg exit velocity +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 259 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateSprint speed Walk rate -2.2zBat speed +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 400 PA 0.54 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactWalk rate In-zone contact +1.9zWhiff rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA 0.53 In-zone contactStrikeout rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +2.4zOppo rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA 0.53 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.4zPull rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.