The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Hicks, Liam in signal, the comp in amber.
MIA · bats L · 567 PA
Ranked comps for Hicks, Liam
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 466 PA | 0.69 | xwOBA on contactChase rateBat speed | In-zone contact -1.2zOppo rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Fermín, José STL · R · 385 PA | 0.68 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 607 PA | 0.63 | Bat speedSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Perdomo, Geraldo AZ · L · 691 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateSwing lengthPull rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zWalk rate +1.5zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Rumfield, TJ COL · L · 657 PA | 0.62 | Avg exit velocityBat speedHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zWhiff rate +0.9zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA | 0.60 | Sprint speedChase rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zAvg exit velocity +1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Palacios, Richie TB · L · 405 PA | 0.57 | Barrel rateOppo rateBat speed | In-zone contact -2.0zWhiff rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.56 | Fly-ball rateSprint speedMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.5zWhiff rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Loftin, Nick KC · R · 446 PA | 0.55 | Isolated powerBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 708 PA | 0.53 | Walk rateMax exit velocityPull rate | Avg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 400 PA | 0.53 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +2.3zGround-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 651 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactOppo ratePull rate | Walk rate -1.5zChase rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.