The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lukes, Nathan in signal, the comp in amber.

TOR · bats L · 467 PA

Ranked comps for Lukes, Nathan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA 0.75 Sprint speedHard-hit rateBarrel rate Chase rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.0zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 607 PA 0.62 Barrel rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Swing length +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.3zOppo rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 478 PA 0.60 Walk rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Sprint speed +2.0zSwing length +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 440 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.4zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.59 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed Swing length +2.0zBat speed +1.5zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 667 PA 0.58 Avg exit velocitySprint speedBat speed Pull rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 607 PA 0.57 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Walk rate +1.9zChase rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Church, Nathan STL · L · 483 PA 0.56 Oppo rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5zChase rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 564 PA 0.56 Strikeout ratePull rateWhiff rate Chase rate -2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.7zBat speed +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 339 PA 0.56 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateGround-ball rate Chase rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.4zWalk rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 516 PA 0.55 xwOBA on contactBat speedSweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.5zPull rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA 0.52 Sweet-spot ratePull ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.4zBat speed +1.4zSwing length +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.