Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir 20260926 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Futures

Season futures.

Projection, market price, and long-horizon uncertainty in one view.

Rows
27
Families
5
Coverage
93%
FUTURES 20260926 UPDATED Sep 25, 2026 08:00 AM ET BOOKS 1
Fair-price gaps are provisional — model still calibrating Futures lanes don't yet have graded results to validate these gaps. Read them as long-horizon uncertainty ranges, not established advantages.
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
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Model Lane

Futures

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Division Winners

Division Winner Gaps

FanDuel market fair prices against Mithrandir playoff and division odds, grouped by division.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.
Market slice

American League Central

2 rows
Entity Three lanes Market Model Gap Range Read
CLE 84-76
P 11.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
58.7%fanduel 11.0%Palantir -47.8pp Team wins band 67 to 86 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CWS 83-77
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
41.3%fanduel 0.9%Palantir -40.4pp Team wins band 58 to 77 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Market slice

American League West

2 rows
Entity Three lanes Market Model Gap Range Read
HOU 79-81
P 21.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
74.0%fanduel 21.0%Palantir -53.1pp Team wins band 72 to 92 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TEX 79-81
P 22.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
26.0%fanduel 22.3%Palantir -3.7pp Team wins band 73 to 93 WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Pennants And World Series

October Futures

FanDuel pennant and World Series prices, sorted by current standings rank with market and model gaps kept visible.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.
Market slice

World Series

14 rows
Entity Three lanes Market Model Gap Range Read
LAD 98-62
P 11.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
28.1%fanduel 11.2%Palantir -16.9pp Team wins band 82 to 101 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIL 101-59
P 2.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
14.8%fanduel 2.4%Palantir -12.4pp Team wins band 73 to 92 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYY 93-68
P 19.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
9.1%fanduel 19.2%Palantir +10.1pp Team wins band 85 to 104 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TB 97-63
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
10.2%fanduel 0.2%Palantir -10.1pp Team wins band 64 to 82 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CLE 84-76
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
6.5%fanduel 0.8%Palantir -5.7pp Team wins band 67 to 86 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BOS 87-74
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
6.0%fanduel 1.1%Palantir -4.9pp Team wins band 69 to 89 WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
ATL 93-67
P 8.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
5.2%fanduel 8.2%Palantir +3.0pp Team wins band 80 to 99 WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
CWS 83-77
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
2.9%fanduel 0.0%Palantir -2.9pp Team wins band 58 to 77 WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
AZ 86-74
P 2.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
0.2%fanduel 2.1%Palantir +1.9pp Team wins band 73 to 92 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
TEX 79-81
P 2.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
1.4%fanduel 2.9%Palantir +1.6pp Team wins band 73 to 93 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
PHI 87-73
P 5.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
4.9%fanduel 5.6%Palantir +0.7pp Team wins band 78 to 98 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
SD 89-71
P 2.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
3.1%fanduel 2.7%Palantir -0.5pp Team wins band 74 to 93 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CHC 88-73
P 4.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
4.6%fanduel 4.4%Palantir -0.2pp Team wins band 76 to 95 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
HOU 79-81
P 2.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
2.9%fanduel 2.7%Palantir -0.2pp Team wins band 72 to 92 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Season Win Totals

Win Total Context

Current over numbers against the simulated team-win distribution. This is intentionally conservative because the free-source lane is still one-sided rather than a full paired total market.

Win totals are currently shown from surfaced over numbers only, not a full over/under consensus book.
Market slice

All Teams

0 rows
No rows

No rows are available for this futures slice.

Awards

Award Market Gaps

Player award markets compared against the current projection surface. To keep this board readable, the tables prioritize names that have both book pricing and projection coverage.

Awards markets remain the thinnest coverage lane because free-book boards include many names outside the current projection universe.
Market slice

AL MVP

3 rows
Entity Three lanes Market Model Gap Range Read
Yordan Alvarez fanduel
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
99.2%fanduel 0.0%Palantir -99.2pp Value band 2.5 to 5.8 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Junior Caminero fanduel
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
0.8%fanduel 0.0%Palantir -0.7pp Value band 4.6 to 7.7 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Cam Schlittler fanduel
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
0.1%fanduel 0.0%Palantir -0.1pp Value band -1.8 to 1.9 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Market slice

NL Cy Young

2 rows
Entity Three lanes Market Model Gap Range Read
Jacob Misiorowski fanduel
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
99.3%fanduel 0.0%Palantir -99.3pp Value band -6.4 to 27.6 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Chris Sale fanduel
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
0.7%fanduel 0.0%Palantir -0.7pp Value band 3.2 to 29.5 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Market slice

AL Rookie of the Year

2 rows
Entity Three lanes Market Model Gap Range Read
Parker Messick fanduel
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
1.2%fanduel 0.0%Palantir -1.2pp Value band -9.1 to 18.4 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Payton Tolle fanduel
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
0.2%fanduel 0.0%Palantir -0.2pp Value band -18.6 to 14.5 No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.