Mithrandir Metrics

FUTURES 20260716 UPDATED Jul 15, 2026 08:00 AM ET BOOKS 1

Lane Health 2026-07-16

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Model Lane

Futures

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Division Winners

Division Winner Gaps

FanDuel market fair prices against Mithrandir playoff and division odds, grouped by division.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.

Market slice

American League East

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
TB 56-38	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	51.4%fanduel	0.6%Palantir	-50.8pp	Team wins band 64 to 82	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYY 54-42	P 68.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	43.1%fanduel	68.7%Palantir	+25.6pp	Team wins band 85 to 104	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BAL 46-51	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	17.3%Palantir	+16.2pp	Team wins band 75 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TOR 45-51	P 9.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.5%fanduel	9.2%Palantir	+7.8pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BOS 46-48	P 4.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.9%fanduel	4.1%Palantir	+1.2pp	Team wins band 69 to 89	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

American League Central

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
CLE 51-46	P 11.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	48.9%fanduel	11.0%Palantir	-37.9pp	Team wins band 67 to 86	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CWS 50-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	32.0%fanduel	0.9%Palantir	-31.1pp	Team wins band 58 to 77	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
DET 44-52	P 41.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	10.7%fanduel	41.3%Palantir	+30.6pp	Team wins band 75 to 94	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
KC 38-59	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	29.5%Palantir	+29.3pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIN 48-49	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	8.3%fanduel	17.3%Palantir	+9.0pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.

Market slice

American League West

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
SEA 48-49	P 35.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	51.6%fanduel	35.0%Palantir	-16.6pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TEX 49-47	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	37.3%fanduel	22.3%Palantir	-15.1pp	Team wins band 73 to 93	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
ATH 41-55	P 12.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.6%fanduel	12.3%Palantir	+11.7pp	Team wins band 70 to 89	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
HOU 47-51	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	10.4%fanduel	21.0%Palantir	+10.6pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
LAA 38-59	P 9.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	9.5%Palantir	+9.4pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.

Market slice

National League East

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
NYM 40-57	P 41.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	41.3%Palantir	+41.1pp	Team wins band 81 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
ATL 55-40	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	55.8%fanduel	34.9%Palantir	-20.9pp	Team wins band 80 to 99	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
PHI 54-43	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	40.6%fanduel	23.0%Palantir	-17.6pp	Team wins band 78 to 98	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIA 52-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.1%fanduel	0.6%Palantir	-2.5pp	Team wins band 62 to 81	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
WSH 48-49	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-0.2pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

National League Central

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
MIL 59-37	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	83.8%fanduel	26.4%Palantir	-57.4pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CHC 54-42	P 44.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	12.8%fanduel	44.4%Palantir	+31.5pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
PIT 50-47	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.0%fanduel	15.5%Palantir	+13.5pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CIN 43-52	P 12.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	12.5%Palantir	+12.4pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
STL 50-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	1.2%Palantir	-0.0pp	Team wins band 61 to 80	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Pennants And World Series

October Futures

FanDuel pennant and World Series prices, sorted by current standings rank with market and model gaps kept visible.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.

Market slice

AL Pennant

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
TB 56-38	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	13.2%fanduel	0.4%Palantir	-12.8pp	Team wins band 64 to 82	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
KC 38-59	P 6.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	6.5%Palantir	+6.3pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BAL 46-51	P 8.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.7%fanduel	8.9%Palantir	+6.2pp	Team wins band 75 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CLE 51-46	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.5%fanduel	1.9%Palantir	-5.5pp	Team wins band 67 to 86	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CWS 50-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-5.3pp	Team wins band 58 to 77	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
DET 44-52	P 9.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.7%fanduel	9.0%Palantir	+5.3pp	Team wins band 75 to 94	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
SEA 48-49	P 10.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	15.2%fanduel	10.0%Palantir	-5.2pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYY 54-42	P 33.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	29.4%fanduel	33.4%Palantir	+4.0pp	Team wins band 85 to 104	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
ATH 41-55	P 3.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	3.1%Palantir	+2.9pp	Team wins band 70 to 89	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
LAA 38-59	P 2.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	2.5%Palantir	+2.4pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
BOS 46-48	P 2.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.0%fanduel	2.7%Palantir	-2.3pp	Team wins band 69 to 89	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
HOU 47-51	P 5.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.4%fanduel	5.7%Palantir	+2.3pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
TEX 49-47	P 6.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	8.8%fanduel	6.6%Palantir	-2.2pp	Team wins band 73 to 93	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
MIN 48-49	P 3.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.6%fanduel	3.7%Palantir	+2.1pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
TOR 45-51	P 5.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.7%fanduel	5.7%Palantir	+2.0pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL Pennant

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
LAD 61-36	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	50.0%fanduel	20.8%Palantir	-29.2pp	Team wins band 82 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYM 40-57	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	18.6%Palantir	+18.5pp	Team wins band 81 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIL 59-37	P 5.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	13.7%fanduel	5.5%Palantir	-8.2pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
SD 48-48	P 5.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.3%fanduel	5.7%Palantir	+4.4pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
SF 41-55	P 4.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	4.0%Palantir	+3.9pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
AZ 49-47	P 4.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	4.8%Palantir	+3.6pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
CHC 54-42	P 9.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.8%fanduel	9.2%Palantir	+3.4pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
ATL 55-40	P 14.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	12.6%fanduel	14.9%Palantir	+2.4pp	Team wins band 80 to 99	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
CIN 43-52	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	2.0%Palantir	+1.8pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
MIA 52-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.3%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-1.1pp	Team wins band 62 to 81	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
PIT 50-47	P 2.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.9%fanduel	2.8%Palantir	+0.9pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
STL 50-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.8pp	Team wins band 61 to 80	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
PHI 54-43	P 11.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	10.7%fanduel	11.1%Palantir	+0.4pp	Team wins band 78 to 98	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
WSH 48-49	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.1pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
COL 39-59	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	+0.0pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

World Series

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
LAD 61-36	P 11.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	34.0%fanduel	11.2%Palantir	-22.8pp	Team wins band 82 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYY 54-42	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	13.1%fanduel	19.2%Palantir	+6.2pp	Team wins band 85 to 104	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIL 59-37	P 2.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.4%fanduel	2.4%Palantir	-4.9pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
TB 56-38	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.1%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-3.9pp	Team wins band 64 to 82	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
SD 48-48	P 2.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	2.7%Palantir	+2.0pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CWS 50-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.8%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.8pp	Team wins band 58 to 77	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CLE 51-46	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.4%fanduel	0.8%Palantir	-1.6pp	Team wins band 67 to 86	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CHC 54-42	P 4.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.9%fanduel	4.4%Palantir	+1.5pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
AZ 49-47	P 2.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	2.1%Palantir	+1.4pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
ATL 55-40	P 8.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.4%fanduel	8.2%Palantir	+0.8pp	Team wins band 80 to 99	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
MIA 52-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.6pp	Team wins band 62 to 81	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
STL 50-45	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.4pp	Team wins band 61 to 80	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
PIT 50-47	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	1.2%Palantir	+0.3pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
PHI 54-43	P 5.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.7%fanduel	5.6%Palantir	-0.1pp	Team wins band 78 to 98	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
TEX 49-47	P 2.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.9%fanduel	2.9%Palantir	+0.0pp	Team wins band 73 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Season Win Totals

Win Total Context

Current over numbers against the simulated team-win distribution. This is intentionally conservative because the free-source lane is still one-sided rather than a full paired total market.

Win totals are currently shown from surfaced over numbers only, not a full over/under consensus book.

Market slice

All Teams

30 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
CWS Over 79.5	P 4.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	75.6%fanduel	4.9%Palantir	-70.7pp	Wins band 58 to 77	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
LAA Over 69.5	P 87.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	19.2%fanduel	87.9%Palantir	+68.6pp	Wins band 69 to 88	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
KC Over 69.5	P 95.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	32.8%fanduel	95.9%Palantir	+63.1pp	Wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
TB Over 89.5	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	64.3%fanduel	1.2%Palantir	-63.1pp	Wins band 64 to 82	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
MIA Over 79.5	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	76.2%fanduel	14.2%Palantir	-61.9pp	Wins band 62 to 81	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
LAD Over 99.5	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	75.0%fanduel	14.4%Palantir	-60.6pp	Wins band 82 to 101	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
STL Over 79.5	P 10.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	69.7%fanduel	10.2%Palantir	-59.5pp	Wins band 61 to 80	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
COL Over 69.5	P 49.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	8.2%fanduel	49.6%Palantir	+41.4pp	Wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
BAL Over 79.5	P 77.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	44.6%fanduel	77.7%Palantir	+33.0pp	Wins band 75 to 95	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
ATH Over 69.5	P 90.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	58.0%fanduel	90.2%Palantir	+32.2pp	Wins band 70 to 89	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
NYM Over 69.5	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	68.8%fanduel	99.7%Palantir	+30.9pp	Wins band 81 to 101	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
DET Over 79.5	P 74.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	48.1%fanduel	74.6%Palantir	+26.6pp	Wins band 75 to 94	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
CIN Over 79.5	P 44.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	18.9%fanduel	44.8%Palantir	+26.0pp	Wins band 69 to 88	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
PHI Over 89.5	P 40.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	66.2%fanduel	40.3%Palantir	-25.9pp	Wins band 78 to 98	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
MIL Over 99.5	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	27.0%fanduel	1.3%Palantir	-25.7pp	Wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
SF Over 69.5	P 94.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	69.7%fanduel	94.8%Palantir	+25.1pp	Wins band 72 to 92	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
ATL Over 89.5	P 49.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	72.6%fanduel	49.3%Palantir	-23.3pp	Wins band 80 to 99	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
TOR Over 79.5	P 69.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	49.0%fanduel	69.2%Palantir	+20.2pp	Wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
WSH Over 79.5	P 8.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	28.6%fanduel	8.6%Palantir	-20.0pp	Wins band 60 to 79	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
PIT Over 79.5	P 54.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	70.1%fanduel	54.2%Palantir	-15.9pp	Wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
CHC Over 89.5	P 29.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	45.5%fanduel	29.6%Palantir	-15.8pp	Wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
BOS Over 79.5	P 47.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	62.1%fanduel	47.5%Palantir	-14.6pp	Wins band 69 to 89	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
HOU Over 79.5	P 63.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	49.0%fanduel	63.4%Palantir	+14.4pp	Wins band 72 to 92	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
CLE Over 89.5	P 4.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	18.5%fanduel	4.8%Palantir	-13.7pp	Wins band 67 to 86	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
MIN Over 79.5	P 53.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	39.7%fanduel	53.2%Palantir	+13.6pp	Wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
TEX Over 79.5	P 68.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	80.8%fanduel	68.2%Palantir	-12.6pp	Wins band 73 to 93	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
NYY Over 89.5	P 75.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	63.0%fanduel	75.2%Palantir	+12.3pp	Wins band 85 to 104	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
SEA Over 89.5	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	19.6%fanduel	30.0%Palantir	+10.4pp	Wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
AZ Over 79.5	P 64.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	71.0%fanduel	64.9%Palantir	-6.1pp	Wins band 73 to 92	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
SD Over 79.5	P 71.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	68.8%fanduel	71.0%Palantir	+2.3pp	Wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.

Awards

Award Market Gaps

Player award markets compared against the current projection surface. To keep this board readable, the tables prioritize names that have both book pricing and projection coverage.

Awards markets remain the thinnest coverage lane because free-book boards include many names outside the current projection universe.

Market slice

AL MVP

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Yordan Alvarez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	58.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-58.1pp	Value band 2.4 to 5.7	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Junior Caminero fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	14.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-14.2pp	Value band 4.6 to 7.7	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Bobby Witt Jr. fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	12.8%fanduel	1.0%Palantir	-11.9pp	Value band 5.4 to 10.4	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Ben Rice fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-4.5pp	Value band 2.7 to 6.0	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Nick Kurtz fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-3.1pp	Value band 3.0 to 6.2	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Julio Rodriguez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-1.1pp	Value band 3.9 to 8.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Shea Langeliers fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.0pp	Value band 3.6 to 6.1	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Byron Buxton fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.9pp	Value band 3.7 to 6.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Dillon Dingler fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.9pp	Value band 1.8 to 5.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Cam Schlittler fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.8pp	Value band -1.9 to 1.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Cody Bellinger fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band 1.0 to 4.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Miguel Vargas fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.4pp	Value band 0.3 to 3.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Riley Greene fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.4pp	Value band 3.1 to 7.4	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Yandy Diaz fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Value band 1.3 to 4.9	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Pete Alonso fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.3%Palantir	+0.0pp	Value band 3.1 to 9.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL MVP

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Shohei Ohtani fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	91.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-91.3pp	Value band -0.8 to 2.8	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Juan Soto fanduel	P 63.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	63.3%Palantir	+62.8pp	Value band 8.3 to 13.6	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Kyle Schwarber fanduel	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	20.8%Palantir	+20.0pp	Value band 4.7 to 11.1	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Pete Crow-Armstrong fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.9%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-4.9pp	Value band 1.6 to 5.9	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Matt Olson fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	1.5%Palantir	+1.4pp	Value band 2.7 to 8.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Ketel Marte fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.7%Palantir	+0.4pp	Value band 3.8 to 8.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Otto Lopez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jacob Misiorowski fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.2pp	Value band -0.6 to 1.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jordan Walker fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.2pp	Value band -1.2 to 2.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
James Wood fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.7%Palantir	+0.2pp	Value band 2.5 to 7.9	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Corbin Carroll fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.1pp	Value band 2.4 to 7.1	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Bryce Harper fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.1pp	Value band 2.3 to 6.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Andy Pages fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.1pp	Value band 1.8 to 5.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CJ Abrams fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.1pp	Value band 2.3 to 5.5	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jackson Chourio fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.1pp	Value band 0.6 to 5.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

AL Cy Young

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Cam Schlittler fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	38.9%fanduel	0.9%Palantir	-38.0pp	Value band -27.9 to 32.7	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Dylan Cease fanduel	P 7.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	37.0%fanduel	7.2%Palantir	-29.8pp	Value band -23.6 to 56.7	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Tarik Skubal fanduel	P 23.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	23.2%Palantir	+22.5pp	Value band 7.7 to 70.0	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
George Kirby fanduel	P 5.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	5.5%Palantir	+4.8pp	Value band -6.1 to 53.3	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Drew Rasmussen fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.5%fanduel	1.0%Palantir	-4.6pp	Value band -28.8 to 40.0	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Joe Ryan fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.7%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-3.7pp	Value band -7.9 to 21.1	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Logan Gilbert fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.1pp	Value band -4.3 to 28.5	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Nathan Eovaldi fanduel	P 2.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	2.3%Palantir	+1.4pp	Value band -14.0 to 45.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Ranger Suarez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.3pp	Value band -8.7 to 18.9	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Parker Messick fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.2pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jacob deGrom fanduel	P 3.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.6%fanduel	3.4%Palantir	+0.8pp	Value band -35.9 to 50.1	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Bryan Woo fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.7pp	Value band -5.2 to 23.9	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Kevin Gausman fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.6pp	Value band -14.8 to 21.5	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Gavin Williams fanduel	P 2.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.5%fanduel	2.1%Palantir	+0.6pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Davis Martin fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band -25.4 to 5.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL Cy Young

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Jacob Misiorowski fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	80.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-80.3pp	Value band -5.7 to 26.8	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Paul Skenes fanduel	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	22.0%Palantir	+21.3pp	Value band -0.7 to 70.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Shohei Ohtani fanduel	P 8.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	8.4%Palantir	+8.2pp	Value band -1.0 to 60.0	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Logan Webb fanduel	P 7.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	7.0%Palantir	+6.8pp	Value band -7.5 to 53.6	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Zack Wheeler fanduel	P 8.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.4%fanduel	8.8%Palantir	+6.3pp	Value band 3.1 to 57.8	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Chris Sale fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.4pp	Value band 3.2 to 29.6	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Chase Burns fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.9%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.9pp	Value band -8.6 to 27.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Cristopher Sanchez fanduel	P 10.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	9.6%fanduel	10.7%Palantir	+1.1pp	Value band -0.6 to 58.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.8pp	Value band -7.3 to 22.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Max Meyer fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.7%Palantir	+0.5pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Braxton Ashcraft fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.4pp	Value band -12.9 to 18.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jesus Luzardo fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.4pp	Value band -7.8 to 25.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Eduardo Rodriguez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.3%Palantir	+0.2pp	Value band -38.8 to 24.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Kyle Harrison fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.1pp	Value band -13.4 to 23.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Mason Miller fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.1pp	Value band -0.0 to 22.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

AL Rookie of the Year

7 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Samuel Basallo fanduel	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.7%fanduel	16.4%Palantir	+12.7pp	Value band 0.6 to 3.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Carter Jensen fanduel	P 10.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.2%fanduel	10.7%Palantir	+8.5pp	Value band 1.0 to 3.6	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Parker Messick fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.0pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Payton Tolle fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.4pp	Value band -17.4 to 13.9	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Tristan Peters fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.4%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-1.4pp	Value band -1.0 to 1.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Walbert Urena fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.7pp	Value band -8.3 to 13.1	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Trey Yesavage fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band -7.1 to 21.9	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL Rookie of the Year

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Sal Stewart fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	21.0%fanduel	2.0%Palantir	-19.0pp	Value band 0.4 to 2.0	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Bryce Eldridge fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.5pp	Value band -0.8 to 1.3	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Nolan McLean fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.0pp	Value band -6.2 to 26.1	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Shane Drohan fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.6pp	Value band -26.0 to 18.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Logan Henderson fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band -19.7 to 21.5	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.