Mithrandir Metrics

FUTURES 20260601 UPDATED May 31, 2026 09:00 AM ET BOOKS 1

Lane Health 2026-06-01

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Model Lane

Futures

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Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Division Winners

Division Winner Gaps

FanDuel market fair prices against Mithrandir playoff and division odds, grouped by division.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.

Market slice

American League East

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
TB 36-20	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	26.0%fanduel	0.6%Palantir	-25.5pp	Team wins band 64 to 82	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BAL 28-32	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.3%fanduel	17.3%Palantir	+16.0pp	Team wins band 75 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TOR 29-31	P 9.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.1%fanduel	9.2%Palantir	+5.1pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BOS 25-33	P 4.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.0%fanduel	4.1%Palantir	+3.1pp	Team wins band 69 to 89	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
NYY 36-23	P 68.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	67.5%fanduel	68.7%Palantir	+1.2pp	Team wins band 85 to 104	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

American League Central

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
CLE 34-27	P 11.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	66.2%fanduel	11.0%Palantir	-55.2pp	Team wins band 67 to 86	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
DET 22-38	P 41.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.5%fanduel	41.3%Palantir	+35.8pp	Team wins band 75 to 94	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
KC 22-37	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.7%fanduel	29.5%Palantir	+24.8pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CWS 32-27	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	15.6%fanduel	0.9%Palantir	-14.7pp	Team wins band 58 to 77	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIN 27-33	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.9%fanduel	17.3%Palantir	+9.4pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.

Market slice

American League West

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
SEA 31-29	P 35.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	56.9%fanduel	35.0%Palantir	-21.9pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
HOU 27-34	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	8.8%fanduel	21.0%Palantir	+12.1pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
LAA 23-37	P 9.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.3%fanduel	9.5%Palantir	+8.2pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
ATH 28-31	P 12.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	9.4%fanduel	12.3%Palantir	+2.9pp	Team wins band 70 to 89	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
TEX 28-31	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	23.6%fanduel	22.3%Palantir	-1.3pp	Team wins band 73 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

National League East

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
ATL 40-20	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	80.6%fanduel	34.9%Palantir	-45.7pp	Team wins band 80 to 99	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYM 26-33	P 41.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.2%fanduel	41.3%Palantir	+38.1pp	Team wins band 81 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
PHI 30-29	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	14.9%fanduel	23.0%Palantir	+8.1pp	Team wins band 78 to 98	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
WSH 31-29	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-0.6pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
MIA 26-34	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	0.6%Palantir	+0.2pp	Team wins band 62 to 81	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

National League Central

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
MIL 35-21	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	53.3%fanduel	26.4%Palantir	-26.9pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CHC 32-28	P 44.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	26.8%fanduel	44.4%Palantir	+17.6pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CIN 30-28	P 12.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.4%fanduel	12.5%Palantir	+7.1pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
PIT 32-28	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	10.1%fanduel	15.5%Palantir	+5.4pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
STL 31-26	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.4%fanduel	1.2%Palantir	-3.2pp	Team wins band 61 to 80	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.

Market slice

National League West

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
LAD 38-21	P 59.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	94.5%fanduel	59.7%Palantir	-34.7pp	Team wins band 82 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
AZ 31-27	P 13.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.3%fanduel	13.1%Palantir	+11.8pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
SF 23-36	P 11.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	11.6%Palantir	+11.5pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
SD 32-26	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.0%fanduel	15.0%Palantir	+11.1pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
COL 22-38	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.5%Palantir	+0.4pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Pennants And World Series

October Futures

FanDuel pennant and World Series prices, sorted by current standings rank with market and model gaps kept visible.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.

Market slice

AL Pennant

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
TB 36-20	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	11.3%fanduel	0.4%Palantir	-10.9pp	Team wins band 64 to 82	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
DET 22-38	P 9.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.4%fanduel	9.0%Palantir	+6.5pp	Team wins band 75 to 94	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CLE 34-27	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	8.3%fanduel	1.9%Palantir	-6.4pp	Team wins band 67 to 86	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BAL 28-32	P 8.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.4%fanduel	8.9%Palantir	+5.5pp	Team wins band 75 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
SEA 31-29	P 10.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	15.0%fanduel	10.0%Palantir	-5.0pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
KC 22-37	P 6.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.6%fanduel	6.5%Palantir	+4.9pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
NYY 36-23	P 33.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	30.5%fanduel	33.4%Palantir	+2.9pp	Team wins band 85 to 104	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
CWS 32-27	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.4pp	Team wins band 58 to 77	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
LAA 23-37	P 2.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	2.5%Palantir	+2.2pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
HOU 27-34	P 5.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.7%fanduel	5.7%Palantir	+2.0pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
MIN 27-33	P 3.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.8%fanduel	3.7%Palantir	+1.9pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
TOR 29-31	P 5.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.5%fanduel	5.7%Palantir	-1.8pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
ATH 28-31	P 3.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.4%fanduel	3.1%Palantir	+0.6pp	Team wins band 70 to 89	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
TEX 28-31	P 6.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	6.8%fanduel	6.6%Palantir	-0.2pp	Team wins band 73 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
BOS 25-33	P 2.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.4%fanduel	2.7%Palantir	+0.2pp	Team wins band 69 to 89	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL Pennant

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
LAD 38-21	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	48.3%fanduel	20.8%Palantir	-27.4pp	Team wins band 82 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYM 26-33	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.7%fanduel	18.6%Palantir	+16.0pp	Team wins band 81 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
PHI 30-29	P 11.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	6.7%fanduel	11.1%Palantir	+4.4pp	Team wins band 78 to 98	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
SF 23-36	P 4.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	4.0%Palantir	+3.9pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
AZ 31-27	P 4.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.8%fanduel	4.8%Palantir	+3.0pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
MIL 35-21	P 5.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	8.1%fanduel	5.5%Palantir	-2.6pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
CHC 32-28	P 9.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.3%fanduel	9.2%Palantir	+1.9pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
SD 32-26	P 5.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.3%fanduel	5.7%Palantir	+1.4pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
STL 31-26	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.0%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.9pp	Team wins band 61 to 80	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
ATL 40-20	P 14.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	14.2%fanduel	14.9%Palantir	+0.7pp	Team wins band 80 to 99	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
WSH 31-29	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.3pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CIN 30-28	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.8%fanduel	2.0%Palantir	+0.2pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
MIA 26-34	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-0.1pp	Team wins band 62 to 81	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
PIT 32-28	P 2.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.9%fanduel	2.8%Palantir	-0.0pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
COL 22-38	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	+0.0pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

World Series

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
LAD 38-21	P 11.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	32.6%fanduel	11.2%Palantir	-21.4pp	Team wins band 82 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYY 36-23	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	14.2%fanduel	19.2%Palantir	+5.0pp	Team wins band 85 to 104	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TB 36-20	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.8%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-3.7pp	Team wins band 64 to 82	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
CLE 34-27	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.7%fanduel	0.8%Palantir	-1.9pp	Team wins band 67 to 86	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
SEA 31-29	P 4.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	6.1%fanduel	4.7%Palantir	-1.4pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
MIL 35-21	P 2.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.8%fanduel	2.4%Palantir	-1.4pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
AZ 31-27	P 2.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	2.1%Palantir	+1.2pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
ATL 40-20	P 8.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.4%fanduel	8.2%Palantir	+0.8pp	Team wins band 80 to 99	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CWS 32-27	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.8pp	Team wins band 58 to 77	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CHC 32-28	P 4.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.6%fanduel	4.4%Palantir	+0.8pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
STL 31-26	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Team wins band 61 to 80	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
SD 32-26	P 2.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.4%fanduel	2.7%Palantir	+0.3pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
PIT 32-28	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.4%fanduel	1.2%Palantir	-0.2pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
WSH 31-29	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.2pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CIN 30-28	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	0.8%Palantir	-0.0pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Season Win Totals

Win Total Context

Current over numbers against the simulated team-win distribution. This is intentionally conservative because the free-source lane is still one-sided rather than a full paired total market.

Win totals are currently shown from surfaced over numbers only, not a full over/under consensus book.

Market slice

All Teams

30 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
LAD Over 99.5	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	73.7%fanduel	14.4%Palantir	-59.3pp	Wins band 82 to 101	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
TB Over 89.5	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	58.7%fanduel	1.2%Palantir	-57.5pp	Wins band 64 to 82	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
NYM Over 79.5	P 93.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	46.3%fanduel	93.2%Palantir	+46.9pp	Wins band 81 to 101	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
MIL Over 89.5	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	64.0%fanduel	18.6%Palantir	-45.4pp	Wins band 73 to 92	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
LAA Over 69.5	P 87.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	43.9%fanduel	87.9%Palantir	+44.0pp	Wins band 69 to 88	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
COL Over 69.5	P 49.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	9.3%fanduel	49.6%Palantir	+40.4pp	Wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
STL Over 79.5	P 10.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	49.0%fanduel	10.2%Palantir	-38.8pp	Wins band 61 to 80	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
CWS Over 79.5	P 4.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	43.5%fanduel	4.9%Palantir	-38.6pp	Wins band 58 to 77	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
SF Over 69.5	P 94.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	58.7%fanduel	94.8%Palantir	+36.1pp	Wins band 72 to 92	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
BAL Over 79.5	P 77.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	44.6%fanduel	77.7%Palantir	+33.0pp	Wins band 75 to 95	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
CLE Over 89.5	P 4.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	36.8%fanduel	4.8%Palantir	-32.0pp	Wins band 67 to 86	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
DET Over 69.5	P 97.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	69.7%fanduel	97.9%Palantir	+28.2pp	Wins band 75 to 94	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
ATL Over 99.5	P 8.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	36.2%fanduel	8.6%Palantir	-27.7pp	Wins band 80 to 99	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
MIN Over 79.5	P 53.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	28.6%fanduel	53.2%Palantir	+24.7pp	Wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
KC Over 69.5	P 95.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	72.6%fanduel	95.9%Palantir	+23.3pp	Wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
HOU Over 79.5	P 63.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	40.7%fanduel	63.4%Palantir	+22.7pp	Wins band 72 to 92	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
WSH Over 79.5	P 8.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	26.3%fanduel	8.6%Palantir	-17.7pp	Wins band 60 to 79	Wider GapThe projected win distribution clears the current number.
BOS Over 79.5	P 47.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	32.3%fanduel	47.5%Palantir	+15.3pp	Wins band 69 to 89	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
SD Over 89.5	P 21.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	35.2%fanduel	21.7%Palantir	-13.5pp	Wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
CHC Over 89.5	P 29.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	42.7%fanduel	29.6%Palantir	-13.1pp	Wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
PIT Over 79.5	P 54.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	67.2%fanduel	54.2%Palantir	-13.0pp	Wins band 71 to 90	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
SEA Over 89.5	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	39.7%fanduel	30.0%Palantir	-9.7pp	Wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
NYY Over 99.5	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	35.2%fanduel	26.4%Palantir	-8.8pp	Wins band 85 to 104	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
CIN Over 79.5	P 44.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	52.8%fanduel	44.8%Palantir	-8.0pp	Wins band 69 to 88	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
ATH Over 79.5	P 48.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	41.3%fanduel	48.6%Palantir	+7.2pp	Wins band 70 to 89	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
MIA Over 69.5	P 60.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	67.7%fanduel	60.5%Palantir	-7.2pp	Wins band 62 to 81	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
TEX Over 79.5	P 68.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	63.8%fanduel	68.2%Palantir	+4.4pp	Wins band 73 to 93	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
AZ Over 79.5	P 64.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	66.2%fanduel	64.9%Palantir	-1.3pp	Wins band 73 to 92	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
PHI Over 89.5	P 40.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	41.0%fanduel	40.3%Palantir	-0.6pp	Wins band 78 to 98	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.
TOR Over 79.5	P 69.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	69.2%fanduel	69.2%Palantir	-0.1pp	Wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe team win band still crosses the book number.

Awards

Award Market Gaps

Player award markets compared against the current projection surface. To keep this board readable, the tables prioritize names that have both book pricing and projection coverage.

Awards markets remain the thinnest coverage lane because free-book boards include many names outside the current projection universe.

Market slice

AL MVP

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Aaron Judge fanduel	P 90.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	51.6%fanduel	90.6%Palantir	+39.0pp	Value band 11.3 to 15.8	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Bobby Witt Jr. fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	16.6%fanduel	1.0%Palantir	-15.6pp	Value band 5.4 to 10.3	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Yordan Alvarez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	14.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-14.0pp	Value band 2.6 to 5.8	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Cal Raleigh fanduel	P 7.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	7.0%Palantir	+6.7pp	Value band 7.1 to 12.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Nick Kurtz fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.9%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-3.9pp	Value band 3.1 to 6.3	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Ben Rice fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.0pp	Value band 2.7 to 6.0	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Shea Langeliers fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.7%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.7pp	Value band 3.7 to 6.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Byron Buxton fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.2pp	Value band 3.7 to 6.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jose Ramirez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.2pp	Value band 3.2 to 8.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Junior Caminero fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.2pp	Value band 4.7 to 7.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Julio Rodriguez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-1.0pp	Value band 3.9 to 8.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Mike Trout fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.6pp	Value band 2.8 to 6.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Yandy Diaz fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band 1.4 to 5.1	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.6%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-0.4pp	Value band 4.4 to 9.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Adley Rutschman fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.4pp	Value band 2.1 to 5.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL MVP

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Shohei Ohtani fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	85.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-85.4pp	Value band -0.8 to 2.6	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Juan Soto fanduel	P 63.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.1%fanduel	63.3%Palantir	+62.2pp	Value band 8.4 to 13.6	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Kyle Schwarber fanduel	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.0%fanduel	20.8%Palantir	+17.8pp	Value band 4.7 to 11.1	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Corbin Carroll fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.9%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-1.8pp	Value band 2.5 to 7.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jordan Walker fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.9pp	Value band -1.2 to 2.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Bryce Harper fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.8pp	Value band 2.3 to 6.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
William Contreras fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.9%Palantir	+0.8pp	Value band 3.5 to 8.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Matt Olson fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	1.5%Palantir	+0.5pp	Value band 2.7 to 8.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Ketel Marte fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.7%Palantir	+0.4pp	Value band 4.0 to 8.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Andy Pages fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Value band 1.8 to 5.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Brice Turang fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Value band 0.9 to 4.4	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Cristopher Sanchez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Value band -0.7 to 3.1	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Oneil Cruz fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Value band 2.1 to 5.5	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Paul Skenes fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Value band -1.0 to 3.4	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Ronald Acuna Jr. fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Value band 3.1 to 6.1	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

AL Cy Young

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Cam Schlittler fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	44.7%fanduel	0.9%Palantir	-43.8pp	Value band -27.1 to 36.4	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Jacob deGrom fanduel	P 3.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	10.4%fanduel	3.4%Palantir	-7.0pp	Value band -33.2 to 47.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
George Kirby fanduel	P 5.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	5.5%Palantir	+4.7pp	Value band -7.0 to 52.3	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Dylan Cease fanduel	P 7.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	11.4%fanduel	7.2%Palantir	-4.1pp	Value band -22.9 to 54.0	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Gavin Williams fanduel	P 2.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	6.2%fanduel	2.1%Palantir	-4.0pp	Value band -28.3 to 40.8	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Davis Martin fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.6pp	Value band -25.4 to 5.3	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Joe Ryan fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.6pp	Value band -8.9 to 22.0	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Shane McClanahan fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.6pp	Value band -10.3 to 18.4	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Bryan Woo fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.6pp	Value band -5.4 to 24.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Kevin Gausman fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.6pp	Value band -15.1 to 20.9	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Logan Gilbert fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.6pp	Value band -3.8 to 28.4	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Ranger Suarez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.3pp	Value band -8.7 to 19.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
MacKenzie Gore fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	1.7%Palantir	+1.3pp	Value band -28.1 to 38.5	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jack Leiter fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	1.3%Palantir	+1.1pp	Value band -32.1 to 37.8	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Parker Messick fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.0pp	Value band -9.4 to 18.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL Cy Young

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Cristopher Sanchez fanduel	P 10.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	34.8%fanduel	10.7%Palantir	-24.0pp	Value band -0.4 to 58.0	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Jacob Misiorowski fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	19.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-19.1pp	Value band -5.2 to 28.0	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Paul Skenes fanduel	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	13.7%fanduel	22.0%Palantir	+8.3pp	Value band -1.0 to 69.4	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Chris Sale fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-7.5pp	Value band 3.2 to 29.8	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Zack Wheeler fanduel	P 8.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.9%fanduel	8.8%Palantir	+6.9pp	Value band 2.0 to 56.6	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Logan Webb fanduel	P 7.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	7.0%Palantir	+6.6pp	Value band -8.3 to 52.6	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Spencer Strider fanduel	P 4.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	4.6%Palantir	+4.3pp	Value band -23.8 to 51.6	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Chase Burns fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-3.4pp	Value band -7.6 to 27.8	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.3pp	Value band -7.5 to 22.2	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Freddy Peralta fanduel	P 2.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	2.8%Palantir	+2.3pp	Value band -15.8 to 44.3	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Robbie Ray fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	1.8%Palantir	+1.6pp	Value band -42.4 to 37.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Kyle Harrison fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.6pp	Value band -13.4 to 23.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Shohei Ohtani fanduel	P 8.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	9.1%fanduel	8.4%Palantir	-0.6pp	Value band -0.4 to 59.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Braxton Ashcraft fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.6pp	Value band -12.6 to 18.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jesus Luzardo fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band -9.0 to 25.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

AL Rookie of the Year

7 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Carter Jensen fanduel	P 10.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	10.7%Palantir	+9.8pp	Value band 1.0 to 3.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Parker Messick fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	8.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-8.3pp	Value band -9.4 to 18.7	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Samuel Basallo fanduel	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	8.3%fanduel	16.4%Palantir	+8.1pp	Value band 0.7 to 3.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Trey Yesavage fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-2.6pp	Value band -7.7 to 22.1	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
Brice Matthews fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	1.9%Palantir	+1.5pp	Value band -0.3 to 2.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Payton Tolle fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.3pp	Value band -18.1 to 14.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Connelly Early fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.0pp	Value band -6.1 to 28.4	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL Rookie of the Year

11 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Sal Stewart fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	27.8%fanduel	2.0%Palantir	-25.8pp	Value band 0.4 to 2.0	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Nolan McLean fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	6.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-6.1pp	Value band -7.1 to 26.2	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Logan Henderson fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.6pp	Value band -20.0 to 21.1	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jhostynxon Garcia fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	1.0%Palantir	+0.6pp	Value band -1.3 to 2.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Moises Ballesteros fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.8%fanduel	1.3%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band -0.3 to 1.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Owen Caissie fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.6%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band -1.1 to 1.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Bubba Chandler fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band -12.5 to 22.4	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Bryce Eldridge fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.4pp	Value band -0.7 to 1.4	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Brandon Sproat fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Value band -16.9 to 20.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Didier Fuentes fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.2pp	Value band -42.5 to 7.3	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Jonah Tong fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.2pp	Value band -27.4 to 19.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.