Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn 20260716 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Futures

Season markets · uncertainty first.

Long-horizon prices are read as fair-price ranges, not urgency signals. Projection, market, and uncertainty stay visible together.

Rows
207
Families
7
Coverage
93%
FUTURES 20260716 UPDATED Jul 15, 2026 08:00 AM ET BOOKS 1
Fair-price gaps are provisional — model still calibrating Futures lanes don't yet have graded results to validate these gaps. Read them as long-horizon uncertainty ranges, not settled edges.
Lane Health 2026-07-16
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Futures

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Coverage Gap

Fangorn does not cover Futures yet

This is an honest empty state, not a loading error. The lane contract marks this model-market cell as missing, so Mithrandir will not fabricate probabilities for it.

Award futures lane is intentionally limited to Palantir. Historical award-market snapshots are structurally different from daily props and require a different modeling approach. This is on the post-launch roadmap.

Methodology reference: docs/projections_m3_methodology_audit_2026_04.md