Mithrandir Metrics
CLE American League Central Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Cleveland Guardians

76.9-85.1 with P10-P90 wins 67-86. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
76.9-85.1
Live pace
85.2
Delta
+8.3
Record 51-46 Run diff -2 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason77.0
Current pace85.2
Rolling p5082.1
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
71.9 76.7 82.1 87.4 92.2
MOVE +5.1 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.42
October path

Projection odds

Division11.0%
Playoffs21.1%
Pennant1.9%
World Series0.8%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.251
Rotation FIP4.35
Bullpen FIP4.42
Run diff-45.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CNaylor, Bo465-1.71