Mithrandir Metrics
AZ National League West Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

Arizona Diamondbacks

82.3-79.7 with P10-P90 wins 73-92. 81.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.3-79.7
Live pace
87.1
Delta
+4.8
Record 86-74 Run diff 17 Generated 2026-09-26T11:49:00.008592+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace87.1
Rolling p5085.7
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
76.6 80.9 85.7 90.5 94.8
MOVE +3.7 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.36
October path

Projection odds

Division13.1%
Playoffs40.8%
Pennant4.8%
World Series2.1%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.262
Rotation FIP4.28
Bullpen FIP4.36
Run diff12.5
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-26; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-25.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CMoreno, Gabriel4002.39
1BTawa, Tim3130.10
2BMarte, Ketel5497.71
SSPerdomo, Geraldo6113.96
3BArenado, Nolan492-0.71
LFNootbaar, Lars5431.97
CFLawlar, Jordan242-1.42
RFCarroll, Corbin6058.32
DHSmith, Pavin373-0.27
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Locklear, TylerHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Burnes, CorbinPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Thompson, RyanPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Puk, A.j.PitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Saalfrank, AndrewPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Mena, CristianPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Del Castillo, AdrianHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Groover, LuJamesHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Troy, TommyHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Walston, BlakePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Strowd, KadePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Burgos, JuanPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors