Mithrandir Metrics
AZ National League West Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

Arizona Diamondbacks

82.3-79.7 with P10-P90 wins 73-92. 81.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.3-79.7
Live pace
82.7
Delta
+0.4
Record 49-47 Run diff -13 Generated 2026-07-17T11:44:53.145921+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace82.7
Rolling p5082.4
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
72.4 77.2 82.4 87.7 92.4
MOVE +0.4 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.36
October path

Projection odds

Division13.1%
Playoffs40.8%
Pennant4.8%
World Series2.1%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.262
Rotation FIP4.28
Bullpen FIP4.36
Run diff12.5
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CMoreno, Gabriel4002.39
1BVargas, Ildemaro302-0.59
2BMarte, Ketel5497.71
SSPerdomo, Geraldo6113.96
3BArenado, Nolan492-0.71
LFGurriel Jr.., Lourdes5420.65
CFBarrosa, Jorge240-0.63
RFCarroll, Corbin6058.32
DHKepler, Max4960.30