The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Simpson, Chandler in signal, the comp in amber.
Ranked comps for Simpson, Chandler
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 269 PA | 0.40 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateWalk rate | Chase rate +2.5zIn-zone contact -2.1zWhiff rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 251 PA | 0.33 | Pull rateWalk rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +2.2zHard-hit rate +2.0zGround-ball rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 331 PA | 0.26 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Oppo rate -2.2zGround-ball rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 236 PA | 0.22 | Swing lengthBarrel rateChase rate | Sprint speed -2.1zGround-ball rate -2.0zHard-hit rate +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 304 PA | 0.22 | Sprint speedPull rateBarrel rate | Max exit velocity +2.4zHard-hit rate +2.4zStrikeout rate +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Osuna, Alejandro TEX · L · 207 PA | 0.21 | Chase rateOppo ratePull rate | Bat speed +2.7zMax exit velocity +2.1zHard-hit rate +2.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA | 0.20 | In-zone contactOppo rateWalk rate | Max exit velocity +2.8zHard-hit rate +2.5zSweet-spot rate +2.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Nuñez, Nasim WSH · L · 328 PA | 0.18 | Avg exit velocitySprint speedBarrel rate | Oppo rate -2.4zWalk rate +2.3zStrikeout rate +2.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 256 PA | 0.18 | Oppo rateChase rateSprint speed | Max exit velocity +2.7zFly-ball rate +2.4zStrikeout rate +2.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 339 PA | 0.17 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Oppo rate -2.7zGround-ball rate -2.0zPull rate +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 267 PA | 0.13 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactChase rate | Ground-ball rate -3.0zSweet-spot rate +2.9zFly-ball rate +2.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Williamson, Ben TB · R · 239 PA | 0.13 | Oppo rateChase rateFly-ball rate | Hard-hit rate +2.7zSweet-spot rate +2.5zMax exit velocity +2.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.