The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Naylor, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats L · 661 PA
Ranked comps for Naylor, Josh
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 529 PA | 0.69 | Fly-ball ratePull rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 506 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityChase rate | Sprint speed +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.2zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 402 PA | 0.65 | Walk rateSwing lengthAvg exit velocity | Isolated power +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA | 0.59 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateWalk rate | Sprint speed +2.0zIsolated power +1.2zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 606 PA | 0.56 | Bat speedOppo rateWalk rate | Sprint speed +2.3zIsolated power +1.1zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 390 PA | 0.52 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.4zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 592 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.4zMax exit velocity -1.4zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 651 PA | 0.50 | Barrel rateIn-zone contactBat speed | Isolated power +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 400 PA | 0.49 | Sprint speedGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.49 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power | Sprint speed +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateOppo rate | Sprint speed +2.3zFly-ball rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Chase rate -2.1zSwing length -1.4zPull rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.