The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Brandon in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats L · 418 PA

Ranked comps for Lowe, Brandon

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 444 PA 0.76 Swing lengthPull rateWhiff rate Oppo rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -0.8zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 257 PA 0.75 Sprint speedIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 227 PA 0.74 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateIn-zone contact Fly-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 314 PA 0.71 Walk rateChase rateWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 358 PA 0.69 Sprint speedIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 410 PA 0.66 Pull rateIsolated powerSweet-spot rate Swing length +1.9zBat speed +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 400 PA 0.66 Bat speedAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length +2.1zChase rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocitySwing length Pull rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.3zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 420 PA 0.63 Bat speedMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.3zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 241 PA 0.61 Max exit velocityIsolated powerBarrel rate Swing length +1.7zChase rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 321 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.5zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 332 PA 0.61 In-zone contactOppo rateWalk rate Isolated power -1.4zSprint speed -1.2zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.