The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ward, Taylor in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats R · 446 PA

Ranked comps for Ward, Taylor

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 435 PA 0.59 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactSwing length Fly-ball rate +1.4zPull rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Martin, Austin MIN · R · 284 PA 0.58 In-zone contactBat speedWhiff rate Hard-hit rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 442 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactBat speedSwing length Chase rate +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 327 PA 0.55 Ground-ball rateSprint speedHard-hit rate Pull rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 335 PA 0.55 Strikeout rateOppo rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.51 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 400 PA 0.50 Isolated powerWhiff rateStrikeout rate Pull rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 421 PA 0.50 Pull rateBarrel rateBat speed Walk rate -1.7zHard-hit rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Julien, Edouard COL · L · 270 PA 0.50 Isolated powerMax exit velocitySwing length Ground-ball rate +1.7zHard-hit rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 429 PA 0.50 Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocityPull rate Isolated power +1.8zChase rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA 0.48 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthOppo rate Walk rate -1.9zChase rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 267 PA 0.47 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.