Mithrandir Metrics
MIN American League Central Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Minnesota Twins

80.1-81.9 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.5 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.1-81.9
Live pace
80.2
Delta
+0.0
Record 48-49 Run diff -14 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace80.2
Rolling p5080.1
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
70.2 74.9 80.1 85.3 90.0
MOVE +0.1 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.45
October path

Projection odds

Division17.3%
Playoffs33.0%
Pennant3.7%
World Series1.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.257
Rotation FIP4.17
Bullpen FIP4.45
Run diff-14.7
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CJeffers, Ryan4901.89
1BClemens, Kody4210.37
2BKeaschall, Luke304-0.05
SSLee, Brooks487-0.31
3BLewis, Royce4380.11
LFLarnach, Trevor5343.58
CFBuxton, Byron5214.66
RFWallner, Matt4353.58
DHBell, Josh5443.34