Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.35 |
| ERA current pace | 4.50 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.40 |
| Observed weight | 36% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 42.1% | 170 | 100 | limited sample |
| SL | 23.8% | 96 | 98 | limited sample |
| SI | 17.8% | 72 | 102 | limited sample |
| FC | 13.9% | 56 | 101 | limited sample |
| CH | 2.5% | 10 | 83 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.12 |
| K% Δ | -0.001 |
| Sample | 30.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 62.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 278 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.6% | 16.5% to 27.6% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 5.5% to 11.9% | +/- 3.2% |
| Whiff% | 23.0% | 19.1% to 28.2% | +/- 4.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.47 | 0.45 to 2.02 | +/- 0.78 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.328 | 0.268 to 0.374 | +/- 0.053 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.3% | 5.0% to 14.2% | +/- 4.6% |
| ERA | 4.38 | 2.78 to 6.41 | +/- 1.82 |
| FIP | 4.34 | 3.08 to 6.07 | +/- 1.50 |
| WHIP | 1.343 | 1.058 to 1.629 | +/- 0.286 |
| xwOBA | 0.312 |
| K% | 19.1% |
| BB% | 9.0% |
| Barrel | 11.6% |
| xwOBA | 0.291 |
| K% | 20.7% |
| BB% | 7.7% |
| Barrel | 10.3% |
