Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.68 |
| ERA current pace | 3.52 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.59 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 53.4% | 330 | 102 | qualified |
| FB | 41.3% | 255 | 106 | qualified |
| SI | 5.3% | 33 | 108 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.34 |
| K% Δ | +0.068 |
| Sample | 66.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 41.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 171 | -- | -- |
| K% | 27.6% | 23.2% to 40.6% | +/- 8.7% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 4.5% to 12.5% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 27.4% | 24.9% to 36.2% | +/- 5.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.25 | 0.48 to 2.07 | +/- 0.79 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.294 | 0.235 to 0.366 | +/- 0.066 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.5% | 3.7% to 13.8% | +/- 5.0% |
| ERA | 3.18 | 1.65 to 6.29 | +/- 2.32 |
| FIP | 3.57 | 1.96 to 4.89 | +/- 1.46 |
| WHIP | 1.133 | 0.849 to 1.533 | +/- 0.342 |
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 30.4% |
| BB% | 8.7% |
| Barrel | 10.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.264 |
| K% | 29.6% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 8.6% |
