The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lopez, Otto in signal, the comp in amber.

MIA · bats R · 703 PA

Ranked comps for Lopez, Otto

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 350 PA 0.69 Hard-hit ratePull rateOppo rate Chase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.2zSwing length +0.9z
02 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA 0.68 Chase rateOppo rateGround-ball rate Swing length +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.1z
03 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 649 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerOppo rate Sprint speed -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.2zSwing length +1.0z
04 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA 0.64 Chase rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z
05 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA 0.60 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactChase rate Swing length +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 608 PA 0.60 Bat speedFly-ball rateOppo rate Strikeout rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z
07 Young, Cole SEA · L · 659 PA 0.58 Whiff rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Oppo rate -1.9zPull rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.4z
08 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.58 Whiff rateBat speedStrikeout rate Max exit velocity -1.3zWalk rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.1z
09 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 623 PA 0.57 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocitySprint speed Oppo rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3z
10 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 354 PA 0.57 Whiff rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.3z
11 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 390 PA 0.56 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4z
12 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA 0.55 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.