The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Naylor, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats L · 656 PA
Ranked comps for Naylor, Josh
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 526 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout rateFly-ball ratePull rate | Sprint speed +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 504 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.2zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 399 PA | 0.64 | Avg exit velocitySwing lengthWalk rate | Isolated power +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 602 PA | 0.58 | Bat speedWalk rateOppo rate | Sprint speed +2.3zFly-ball rate +0.9zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA | 0.57 | Walk rateHard-hit rateGround-ball rate | Sprint speed +2.0zIsolated power +1.3zChase rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 386 PA | 0.51 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.4zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 592 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Sprint speed +2.4zMax exit velocity -1.4zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 647 PA | 0.50 | In-zone contactBat speedOppo rate | Isolated power +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 396 PA | 0.49 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateSprint speed | Chase rate -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.49 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power | Sprint speed +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateOppo rate | Sprint speed +2.3zFly-ball rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 351 PA | 0.47 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateGround-ball rate | Strikeout rate +2.2zWhiff rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.