The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Johnston, Troy in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 331 PA
Ranked comps for Johnston, Troy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 389 PA | 0.71 | Strikeout rateSprint speedBat speed | Hard-hit rate +1.1zBarrel rate +1.1zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 280 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Chase rate -1.5zBarrel rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 307 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity | Barrel rate +1.4zSwing length +1.1zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3zChase rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 337 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateSwing lengthSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zChase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 311 PA | 0.62 | Oppo rateBat speedMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 373 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedIsolated powerGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zSwing length +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 248 PA | 0.62 | Sprint speedOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zFly-ball rate +1.3zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 397 PA | 0.60 | Pull rateBat speedSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -2.2zxwOBA on contact -1.0zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA | 0.59 | Max exit velocityIn-zone contactGround-ball rate | Barrel rate +1.6zFly-ball rate +1.4zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA | 0.59 | Avg exit velocitySprint speedOppo rate | Chase rate -1.5zBarrel rate +1.4zWhiff rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA | 0.59 | Walk rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Barrel rate +1.5zChase rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.