The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lopez, Otto in signal, the comp in amber.

MIA · bats R · 698 PA

Ranked comps for Lopez, Otto

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 350 PA 0.69 Pull rateHard-hit rateOppo rate Chase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.2zSwing length +0.9z
02 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA 0.68 Chase rateGround-ball rateOppo rate Swing length +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.1z
03 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 645 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.2zSwing length +1.0z
04 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.65 Barrel rateChase ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z
05 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA 0.61 Bat speedOppo ratexwOBA on contact Strikeout rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1z
06 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA 0.61 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactChase rate Swing length +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z
07 Young, Cole SEA · L · 654 PA 0.59 Whiff rateBat speedAvg exit velocity Oppo rate -1.9zPull rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.4z
08 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.57 Bat speedWhiff rateStrikeout rate Max exit velocity -1.3zWalk rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.1z
09 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 619 PA 0.57 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Oppo rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2z
10 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 354 PA 0.57 Whiff rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.3z
11 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 386 PA 0.57 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateIsolated power Sprint speed -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.2z
12 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA 0.56 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.