The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats R · 708 PA

Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 490 PA 0.75 Walk rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -0.9zIsolated power -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 641 PA 0.73 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityChase rate Fly-ball rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.0zOppo rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 559 PA 0.70 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Sprint speed +1.3zIsolated power -1.1zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.69 In-zone contactPull rateSwing length xwOBA on contact +1.3zBarrel rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.66 Ground-ball ratePull rateBat speed Max exit velocity +1.2zHard-hit rate +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 415 PA 0.66 Pull rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 651 PA 0.64 In-zone contactBat speedSwing length Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.7zWhiff rate +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA 0.63 Swing lengthIn-zone contactWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zPull rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA 0.63 Max exit velocityFly-ball rateBarrel rate Chase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.63 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Max exit velocity +1.2zWhiff rate +1.2zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 623 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateBat speed Sprint speed +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.3zIsolated power -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 547 PA 0.61 Swing lengthHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.9zPull rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.