The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Johnston, Troy in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 331 PA

Ranked comps for Johnston, Troy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 389 PA 0.71 Strikeout rateSprint speedBat speed Hard-hit rate +1.1zBarrel rate +1.1zChase rate -0.9z
02 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 280 PA 0.69 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Chase rate -1.5zBarrel rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.3z
03 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 307 PA 0.68 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Barrel rate +1.4zSwing length +1.1zChase rate -0.9z
04 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3zChase rate -1.2z
05 Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 337 PA 0.64 Barrel rateSwing lengthSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.4zChase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z
06 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 311 PA 0.62 Oppo rateBat speedMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.3z
07 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 373 PA 0.62 Bat speedIsolated powerGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zSwing length +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.2z
08 Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 248 PA 0.62 Sprint speedOppo ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -1.9zFly-ball rate +1.3zBarrel rate +1.1z
09 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 397 PA 0.60 Pull rateBat speedSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -2.2zxwOBA on contact -1.0zHard-hit rate -1.0z
10 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.59 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Barrel rate +1.6zFly-ball rate +1.4zSwing length +1.2z
11 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocitySprint speedOppo rate Chase rate -1.5zBarrel rate +1.4zWhiff rate -1.2z
12 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA 0.59 Walk rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Barrel rate +1.5zChase rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.