Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CLE · 2026

Yoho, Craig

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.2% K%
Range
9.9% to 28.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team CLE Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
52
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
56
Arsenal5 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason4.33
ERA current pace4.54
ERA rolling p504.42
Observed weight40%
ERA
2.51 3.41 4.42 5.42 6.33
FIP
3.02 3.57 4.18 4.80 5.35
K%
16.5% 19.2% 22.2% 25.3% 28.0%
BB%
7.6% 9.1% 10.6% 12.2% 13.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.17
77
ERA4.54
37
BB%11.2%
24
K%25.5%
73 +24 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.311
50
Barrel allowed9.4%
21 -35 vs proj
Fastball velo94.3
49
Hard-hit allowed32.3%
90
Whiff%26.8%
81 +22 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Changeup Stuff+108
92
Cutter Stuff+99
31
Fastball Stuff+101
42
Mithrandir Stuff+103
61
Sinker Stuff+95
12
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 54%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Yoho, Craig · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.311 2026-09-12: 0.3002026-09-13: 0.3052026-09-14: 0.3052026-09-18: 0.3112026-09-19: 0.3112026-09-20: 0.3112026-09-21: 0.3112026-09-22: 0.3112026-09-23: 0.3122026-09-24: 0.3122026-09-25: 0.3122026-09-26: 0.311 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Yoho, Craig · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Yoho, Craig · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 53.9%Sinker: 16.6%4-Seam Fastball: 16.5%Cutter: 12.2%Sweeper: 0.8% CH54% · 79 mphprimary pitch CH 54%SI 17%FF 16%FC 12%ST 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Yoho, Craig · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Changeup: 54% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 50″ drop, 79.0 mphCH79 mphSinker: 17% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 94.4 mphSI94 mph4-Seam Fastball: 16% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 94.3 mphFF94 mphCutter: 12% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 90.7 mphFC91 mphSweeper: 1% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 77.9 mphST78 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 62.1% 174 108 limited sample
FB 18.9% 53 101 limited sample
FC 12.9% 36 99 limited sample
SI 4.6% 13 95 limited sample
SL 1.4% 4 116 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Changeup 46%, 4-Seam Fastball 38%, Sweeper 9%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.74
K% Δ+0.033
Sample37.7 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings29.2----
Batters Faced136----
K%22.2%9.9% to 28.3%+/- 9.2%
BB%10.5%6.4% to 15.5%+/- 4.5%
Whiff%23.9%14.0% to 28.6%+/- 7.3%
HR/91.160.13 to 2.09+/- 0.98
xwOBA Against0.3120.182 to 0.354+/- 0.086
Barrel% Allowed7.1%0.7% to 9.6%+/- 4.5%
ERA3.801.66 to 6.97+/- 2.65
FIP4.001.94 to 5.18+/- 1.62
WHIP1.3250.998 to 1.761+/- 0.382
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

22 career BF

xwOBA0.190
K%12.7%
BB%12.2%
Barrel2.4%
vs RHH

29 career BF

xwOBA0.177
K%13.5%
BB%8.9%
Barrel2.5%